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The Harris Poll® #46, September 10, 2002
Special "9/11" Poll
(Part 3 of 4)
This is the third of four special issues of The
Harris Poll reporting on the mood of America on the anniversary of September
11th, 2001. The final column will be published on September 11th.
Support for Some Stronger Surveillance and Law Enforcement
Measures Continues While Support for Others Declines
_________________________________
by Humphrey Taylor
Soon after the attacks of September 11th last year, majorities of
Americans – mostly large majorities – supported a broad range of different
proposals for increased law enforcement and surveillance powers. In a later
survey, conducted in March this year, support for most of these proposals
continued to be strong but in several cases it had declined in the six months
after the attack. Now, almost a year after the attacks on September 11, there
continues to be substantial majority support for two public safety measures –
the adoption of a national I.D. system and expanded camera surveillance – but
there has been a sharp drop in support for the monitoring of Internet
discussions, chat rooms and other forums, cell phones and email correspondence.
These are some of the results of The Harris Poll of 2,203 adults,
surveyed online between August 26 and September 3, 2002, using the same methods
used by Harris Interactive® to forecast the 2000 elections with
great accuracy.
A two-to-one majority (60% to 29%) continues to favor a national I.D. system
for all United States citizens. Support for this is relatively unchanged since
March this year, although it is now somewhat lower than what it was in September
last year (68%), immediately after the terrorist attacks.
The majority favoring expanded camera surveillance on the streets and public
places is also unchanged for the last six months at 58% but down a little bit
from the 63% who favored it in September last year.
However, those who favor the monitoring by law enforcement authorities of
chat rooms and other forums continues to fall, from 63% a year ago to 55% six
months ago, to only 42% today. A similar decline is found in support for
expanded government monitoring of cell phones and email correspondence. A year
ago 54% favored this, and six months later it had fallen to 44%; it is now down
to 32%.
These results also show that Americans’ support for different types of law
enforcement and surveillance varies greatly depending on the specific proposal.
What is striking is the continued strong support for a national I.D. system, a
proposal that has been strongly opposed by many libertarians and privacy
advocates, and by many others who are concerned about the "big
brother" role of government.
Humphrey Taylor is the chairman of The Harris Poll, Harris Interactive.
TABLE 1
FAVOR/OPPOSE FOUR PROPOSALS FOR INCREASED LAW ENFORCEMENT AND
SURVEILLANCE
"Following are some increased powers of investigation
that law enforcement agencies might use when dealing with people of terrorist
activity, but which would also affect our civil liberties. For each please
indicate whether you would favor or oppose it."
Base: All adults
| |
|
Favor |
Oppose |
Don’t Know |
TREND
(THOSE WHO FAVOR) |
|
Sept. 2001 |
March 2002 |
Aug./ Sept. 2002 |
|
Adoption of a national I.D. system for all U.S. citizens |
% |
60 |
29 |
11 |
68 |
59 |
60 |
|
Expanded camera surveillance on streets and in public places |
% |
58 |
33 |
9 |
63 |
58 |
58 |
|
Law enforcement monitoring of Internet discussions in chat rooms and
other forums |
% |
42 |
45 |
13 |
63 |
55 |
42 |
|
Expanded government monitoring of cell phones and email to intercept
communications |
% |
32 |
55 |
13 |
54 |
44 |
32 |
Methodology
The Harris Poll® was conducted online within the United
States between August 26 and September 3, among a nationwide cross section of
2,203 adults. Figures for age, sex, race, education and number of adults in the
household were weighted where necessary to bring them into line with their
actual proportions in the population. "Propensity score" weighting was
also used to adjust for respondents’ propensity to be online.
In theory, with a probability sample of this size, one can say with 95
percent certainty that the results have a statistical precision of plus or minus
2 percentage points of what they would be if the entire adult population had
been polled with complete accuracy. Unfortunately, there are several other
possible sources of error in all polls or surveys that are probably more serious
than theoretical calculations of sampling error. They include refusals to be
interviewed (non-response), question wording and question order, interviewer
bias, weighting by demographic control data and screening (e.g., for likely
voters). It is impossible to quantify the errors that may result from these
factors. And this online survey is not a probability sample.
These statements conform to the principles of disclosure of the National
Council on Public Polls.
____________________________________________________________
W17045
Q635, Q640, Q645, Q650, Q655
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