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The Harris Poll® #77, October 13, 2004
Professional Football Leads Baseball by 2-to-1 as Nation’s
Favorite Sport
College football, men’s pro basketball, auto racing and men’s
college basketball also the favorite sports of many people
For the second year in a row, professional football leads baseball by 2-to-1
(30% to 15%) as the nation’s favorite sport. Nineteen years ago, in 1985, when
The Harris Poll® first asked this question, professional
football and baseball were in a virtual tie (24% to 23%) for first place. With a
few small wobbles in the numbers, football (up six points since 1985) has
steadily increased its following at the expense of baseball (down 8 points since
1985).
While baseball (15%) has slipped badly, it is still ahead of college football
(11%), men’s pro basketball (7%), auto racing (7%), and men’s college
basketball (6%).
These are the results of a nationwide Harris Interactive® survey of 2,555
U.S. adults surveyed online between September 20 and 26, 2004.
With the exception of pro football and baseball, the numbers of people naming
sports as their favorites are not very different from what they were in 1985.
However, some sports have moved up and down over the last nineteen years. In the
late 1990s, when Michael Jordan was at his peak, those picking men’s pro
basketball as their favorite sport increased, from only six percent in 1985 to
13 percent in 1997 and 1998. It has now slipped back to seven percent.
Men’s tennis was the favorite of five percent of U.S. adults who follow
more than one sport in 1985; it has now slipped to one percent.
Demographic variations
The survey also finds some sizable differences between different segments of
the population. Pro football has more fans among "Generation
X," those aged 28-39, (42%), in two incomes groups, those with household
incomes of $15,000 to under $25,000 and $50,000 to under $75,000 (both 40%), in
the East (38%) and among African Americans (38%).
Baseball does best among U.S. adults who follow more than one sport with
household incomes of between $35,000 and under $50,000 (22%) and with matures,
aged 59 and over (20%).
College football is particularly popular in the South (19%), among
college graduates (19%) and adults in more households with incomes of $75,000 or
more (16%).
Auto racing (which includes NASCAR) does best in the two lowest income
groups with incomes of $25,000 or less (each with 12%) and those who never went
to college (11%).
TABLE 1
FAVORITE SPORTS
"If you had to choose, which ONE of these sports would
you say is your favorite?"
Base: All adults who follow more than one sport
| |
1985 |
1989 |
1992 |
1993 |
1994 |
1997 |
1998 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
CHANGE 1985 – 2004 |
| |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Pro football |
24 |
26 |
28 |
24 |
24 |
28 |
26 |
27 |
29 |
30 |
+6 |
|
Baseball |
23 |
19 |
21 |
18 |
17 |
17 |
18 |
14 |
13 |
15 |
-8 |
|
College football |
10 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
7 |
10 |
9 |
9 |
9 |
11 |
+1 |
|
Men’s pro basketball |
6 |
7 |
8 |
12 |
11 |
13 |
13 |
11 |
10 |
7 |
+1 |
|
Auto racing |
5 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
5 |
5 |
7 |
10 |
9 |
7 |
+2 |
|
Men’s college basketball |
6 |
10 |
8 |
8 |
8 |
6 |
4 |
4 |
6 |
6 |
- |
|
Men’s golf |
3 |
4 |
4 |
6 |
5 |
6 |
4 |
4 |
5 |
4 |
+1 |
|
Hockey |
2 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
5 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
+2 |
|
Men’s soccer |
3 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
- |
|
Women’s tennis |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
3 |
2 |
2 |
NA |
|
Boxing |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
2 |
NA |
|
Track & field |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
-1 |
|
Men’s tennis |
5 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
-4 |
|
Horse racing |
4 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
-3 |
|
Bowling |
3 |
5 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
-2 |
|
Women’s college basketball |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
1 |
1 |
* |
1 |
NA |
|
Women’s soccer |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
1 |
NA |
|
Women’s pro basketball |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
* |
1 |
1 |
* |
NA |
|
Women’s golf |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
1 |
* |
NA |
|
Not sure |
* |
1 |
4 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
2 |
- |
|
Pro football’s lead over baseball |
1 |
7 |
7 |
6 |
7 |
11 |
8 |
13 |
16 |
15 |
+14 |
Note: NA = Not asked. Previously did not distinguish between men and women’s
sports when asking these questions.
Note: Numbers may not add up to 100% due to rounding.
TABLE 2
SOME DEMOGRAPHIC VARIATIONS IN FAVORITE SPORTS
""If you had to choose, which ONE of these
sports would you say is your favorite?"
Base: All adults who follow more than one sport
|
Sport |
All Adults |
Highest |
Lowest |
|
Pro football |
30% |
"Gen X" (28-39) |
42% |
Less than $15,000 |
24% |
|
$15,000-$24,999 |
40% |
$35,000-$49,999 |
25% |
|
$50,000-$74,999 |
40% |
Matures (59+) |
26% |
|
East |
38% |
Echo Boomers (18-27) |
27% |
|
African American |
38% |
$75,000+ |
27% |
| |
|
Hispanics |
27% |
|
Baseball |
15% |
$35,000-$49,999 |
22% |
African American |
5% |
|
Matures (59+) |
20% |
$15,000-$24,999 |
6% |
|
College Football |
11% |
South |
19% |
West |
5% |
|
College graduate |
19% |
East |
7% |
|
$75,000+ |
16% |
$15,000-$24,999 |
8% |
| |
|
$35,000-$49,999 |
8% |
|
Men’s Pro Basketball |
7% |
African American |
18% |
East |
3% |
|
$15,000-$24,999 |
14% |
College graduate |
4% |
|
West |
13% |
$35,000-$49,999 |
4% |
|
Echo Boomers (18-27) |
12% |
$75,000+ |
4% |
|
Auto Racing |
7% |
Less than $15,000 |
12% |
College graduate |
2% |
|
$15,000-$24,999 |
12% |
Echo Boomers (18-27) |
2% |
|
High school or less |
11% |
African American |
2% |
| |
|
Hispanics |
3% |
| |
|
Post-graduate |
3% |
Methodology
The Harris Poll® was conducted online within the United
States between September 20 and 26, 2004 among a nationwide cross section of
2,555 adults (aged 18 and over), of whom 1,465 follow more than one sport.
Figures for age, sex, race, education, region and household income were weighted
where necessary to bring them into line with their actual proportions in the
population. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents’
propensity to be online.
In theory, with probability samples of this size, one could say with 95
percent certainty that the results have a sampling error of plus or minus 2
percentage points for the overall sample. The sampling error for the adults who
follow more than one sport sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points of what
it would be if the entire U.S. adult population who follow more than one sport
had been polled with complete accuracy. Unfortunately, there are several other
possible sources of error in all polls or surveys that are probably more serious
than theoretical calculations of sampling error. They include refusals to be
interviewed (non-response), question wording and question order, and weighting.
It is impossible to quantify the errors that may result from these factors. This
online sample was not a probability sample.
These statements conform to the principles of disclosure of the National
Council on Public Polls.
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