The Harris Poll® #9, January 27, 2005

Social Security and Energy Reform are the Public’s Top Agenda Items for the New Congress to Consider, According to The Harris Poll

As President Bush prepares for his annual State of the Union address on February 2, he may be happy to hear that the American public strongly supports Social Security and energy policy reforms.

When a recent Harris Poll asked U.S. adults about energy reform as a potential agenda item for the new Congress to consider, a strong majority (91%) said they would support reform to emphasize more conservation by consumers and to encourage more innovation by energy producers for alternative sources for energy, with over half (52%) strongly supporting this idea. Furthermore, with regard to Social Security, the poll showed a substantial majority (89%) supports reforms to ensure the Social Security fund has enough money to provide benefits for the next 50 years; well over half (60%) strongly support this congressional agenda item.

These are the results of a nationwide Harris Poll of 2,209 U.S. adults surveyed online by Harris Interactive® between January 11 and 16, 2005.

Public attitudes found in the survey toward other potential reform issues are:

  • Just under six in ten (58%) adults would at least somewhat support the White House plan that would reform Social Security by allowing individual investments of Social Security taxes in the stock or bond market. Only one quarter (24%) strongly opposes this potential reform.
  • Interestingly, only slightly more than half (53%) at least somewhat support (26% strongly support) energy reform that would allow companies to drill for oil in such areas as the Alaska National Wildlife Refuge (ANWR) which is the proposal President Bush and Republicans in Congress desire. In fact, just less than one-third (30%) of the public strongly opposes the idea of energy reform that allows drilling.
  • When asked about tax reform to tax wealthier individuals more, three-quarters (75%) of the public support this idea. While somewhat fewer (69%) support the White House position on tax reform to make the recent tax cuts permanent, these percentages still show fairly strong support for each of these proposed enactments to the tax code.
  • On immigration reform, just under three quarters (73%) support (47% "strongly" support) making it more difficult for immigrants to enter the U.S. and stay for a prolonged period of time. Further, half (52%) support (13% "strongly" support) allowing some immigrants to stay in U.S. to work in jobs U.S. citizens may not want.
  • Seventy percent (70%) support (23% "strongly" support) legal reform to ensure that judges and juries are allowed to decide the amount awarded in malpractice and product-liability lawsuits. Somewhat fewer adults (61%) support (24% "strongly" support) reform to limit lawsuits against doctors and manufacturers.

Who leads Congress?

The U.S. House of Representatives is entering into the second decade of Republican control and the the U.S. Senate continues to be dominated by Republicans. The survey shows that over two-thirds of adults know that Republicans will control the House (68%) and the Senate (68%) for the upcoming year. However, slightly over one quarter say they are "not sure" who will control the House (26%) and who will control the Senate (27%).

When it comes to Republican control of both Congress and the White House, the public seems to have mixed feelings. When asked if it is good or bad for the country to have a president and congressional majority of different parties, half of the public (51%) said that it was good and 22 percent said it was bad. Not surprisingly, Democrats are a little more likely (57%) to say divided government is a good thing as compared to Republicans (43%), but Independents are most likely (59%) to say it is a good thing to have differing parties in control. Overall, the public seems to desire divided government. Maybe this is the first forecast for the 2006 mid-term elections?

TABLE 1

Support or Opposition for New Congress agenda items

"How much would you support or oppose the following items that might be on the agenda of the new Congress?"

Base: All Adults

 

Support (NET)

Strongly Support

Somewhat Support

Oppose (NET)

Somewhat Oppose

Strongly Oppose

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

Energy reform to emphasize more conservation by consumers and to encourage more innovation by energy producers for alternative sources of energy

91

52

38

9

7

2

Social Security reform to ensure the Social Security fund has enough money to provide benefits for all Americans for the next 50 years

89

60

29

11

6

5

Tax reform to enact higher taxes on wealthy individuals in an effort to bring down the federal deficit

75

43

32

25

13

12

Immigration reform to make it more difficult for immigrants to enter the U.S. and to stay in the U.S. for a prolonged length of time

73

47

26

27

20

7

Tort reform to ensure judges and juries are allowed to decide the amount awarded in malpractice or product-liability lawsuits

70

23

47

30

19

11

Tax reform to make the recent tax cuts a permanent measure

69

33

36

31

14

17

Tort reform to limit lawsuits against doctors and manufacturers

61

28

33

39

23

16

Social Security reform to allow workers to invest part of their Social Security taxes in the stock or bond market

58

24

34

42

18

24

Energy reform to allow companies the ability to drill for oil in certain areas such as the Alaska National Wildlife Refuge (ANWR) to decrease our reliance on foreign oil

53

26

27

47

17

30

Immigration reform to allow some immigrants the ability to stay in the U.S. to work in jobs U.S. citizens do not want

52

13

39

48

27

21

TABLE 2

New Congress agenda – By Party

"How much would you support or oppose the following items that might be on the agenda of the new Congress?"

Base: All Adults

 

Support (NET)

Oppose (NET)

 

Repub.

Dem.

Ind.

Repub.

Dem.

Ind.

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

Energy reform to emphasize more conservation by consumers and to encourage more innovation by energy producers for alternative sources of energy

89

91

93

11

9

7

Social Security reform to ensure the Social Security fund has enough money to provide benefits for all Americans for the next 50 years

93

86

91

7

14

9

Social Security reform to allow workers to invest part of their Social Security taxes in the stock or bond market

78

44

54

22

56

46

Energy reform to allow companies the ability to drill for oil in certain areas such as the Alaska National Wildlife Refuge (ANWR) to decrease our reliance on foreign oil

80

41

42

20

59

58

TABLE 3

Which Political Party Controls Congress?

"Do you know which party will be controlling the U.S. House of Representatives for the upcoming year?"

"Do you know which party will be controlling the U.S. Senate for the upcoming year?"

Base: All Adults

 

U.S. House

U.S. Senate

 

%

%

Republicans

68

68

Democrats

6

5

Not sure

26

27

TABLE 4

Divided Government; good or bad thing?

"Overall, do you think it is good or bad for the country to have a president and a majority in Congress belonging to different parties?"

Base: All Adults

 

Total

Republicans

Democrats

Independents

 

%

%

%

%

Good

51

43

57

59

Bad

22

28

25

17

Not Sure

27

30

19

23

Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding.

Methodology

The Harris Poll® was conducted online within the United States between January 11 and 16, 2005 among a nationwide cross section of 2,209 adults aged 18 and over. Figures for age, sex, race, education, region and household income were weighted where necessary to bring them into line with their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents’ propensity to be online.

In theory, with probability samples of this size, one could say with 95 percent certainty that the results have a sampling error of plus or minus 2 percentage points. Unfortunately, there are several other possible sources of error in all polls or surveys that are probably more serious than theoretical calculations of sampling error. They include refusals to be interviewed (non-response), question wording and question order, and weighting. It is impossible to quantify the errors that may result from these factors. This online sample is not a probability sample.

These statements conform to the principles of disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.

J23069

Q700, Q705, Q710, Q715



©2005, Harris Interactive Inc. All rights reserved. Reproduction prohibited without the express written permission of Harris Interactive.



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