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The Harris Poll® #43, May 19, 2005
Partisanship is Not What Most of the American Public Desires
Sizable majorities of U.S. adults favor both moderate and
Independent candidates for office
With the U.S. Senate edging closer to a showdown over the filibuster and
judicial nominations, it may appear as if partisanship is a dominating
influence; but a new Harris Poll shows that the American public may not feel the
same. Regardless of ideology, when asked if they favor or oppose candidates who
are conservative, moderate or liberal, over three-quarters (79%) of U.S. adults
favor moderate candidates while only 48 percent favor conservative candidates
and 41 percent favor liberal candidates.
These are the results of a new Harris Poll of 2,322 U.S. adults surveyed
online by Harris Interactive® between May 4 and 10, 2005.
When asked about party label instead of ideology, there are interesting
differences. A majority of all adults (67%) favor candidates who are
Independent, while 46 percent favor Republicans and 56 percent favor Democratic
candidates. Whether we look at it by party or ideology, there are certain
commonalities. Whether a candidate is conservative or Republican, the public
views them similarly. The public has a better perception of moderates over
Independents, but both are still strongly favored. There is, however, a large
difference between how the public perceives Democrats and liberal candidates,
with the party label having higher favorability than the ideological label.
Perceived influence of various ideologies
Slightly over one-third (38%) of adults believe extreme liberals have too
much influence in the Democratic Party, while 22 percent think they have too
little influence. More than half (53%) believe extreme conservatives have too
much influence in the Republican Party, compared to 10 percent who believe they
have too little influence. Nearly half (48%) believe the Religious Right has too
much influence in Washington, while one in five (21%) think they have too little
influence.
Perspectives of extremism
One-quarter (26%) of Republicans believe the Religious Right has too much
power in Washington and similar numbers (24%) think extreme conservatives have
too much power in the Republican Party. Only 18 percent of Democrats think
extreme liberals have too much influence in their party. Moderates and
Independents similarly believe that extreme conservatives in the Republican
Party (moderates, 64% and Independents, 63%) have too much influence and that
extreme liberals in the Democratic Party have too much influence (moderates and
Independents, 38% each).
Harris Interactive also asked people to compare today’s politicians with
those of 10 years ago. Some results are as follows:
- When asked if there were more or fewer politicians willing to vote
regularly beyond their party label 10 years ago as compared to today,
- 33 percent said there were more,
- 16 percent believe the number of politicians is the same as it was 10
years ago, and
- 25 percent believe there are fewer politicians willing to vote beyond
their party label today than 10 years ago.
- When asked if members of Congress are more or less corrupt than they were
10 years ago,
- Over half (56%) believe members of Congress are more corrupt (24% said
"much more" and 32% said "somewhat more" corrupt.
- 38 percent believe members of Congress are neither more nor less
corrupt, and
- Only six percent say they are less corrupt.
- When examined by party ID, half or more of each party believes members of
Congress are more corrupt today than they were 10 years ago – (50% of
Republicans, 60% of Democrats and 55% of Independents).
As we draw closer to the judicial showdown, the American public’s views on
party line voting are clear. More than four out of five (85%) adults believe we
need more elected politicians who will vote independently rather than on party
lines. While, not surprisingly, 94 percent of Independents and 90 percent of
moderates want independent voting, so do 88 percent of liberals, 87 percent of
Democrats, and 79 percent of Republicans and conservatives.
TABLE 1
FAVOR/OPPOSE CANDIDATES BY IDEOLOGY
"Thinking about politicians in general, do you generally
favor or oppose candidates who are…?"
Base: All Adults
| |
|
Ideology* |
Party ID* |
| |
Total |
Conservative |
Moderate |
Liberal |
Republican |
Democrat |
Independent |
| |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Conservative – Favor |
48 |
96 |
38 |
12 |
82 |
28 |
42 |
|
Conservative – Oppose |
52 |
4 |
62 |
88 |
18 |
72 |
58 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Moderate – Favor |
79 |
69 |
93 |
72 |
78 |
79 |
89 |
|
Moderate – Oppose |
21 |
31 |
7 |
28 |
22 |
21 |
11 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Liberal – Favor |
41 |
8 |
38 |
96 |
10 |
65 |
42 |
|
Liberal – Oppose |
59 |
92 |
62 |
4 |
90 |
35 |
58 |
Note 1: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding.
*Note 2: Split Sample
TABLE 2
FAVOR/OPPOSE CANDIDATES BY PARTY
"Thinking about politicians in general, do you generally
favor or oppose candidates who are…?"
Base: All Adults
| |
|
Ideology* |
Party ID* |
| |
Total |
Conservative |
Moderate |
Liberal |
Republican |
Democrat |
Independent |
| |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Republican – Favor |
46 |
83 |
41 |
13 |
96 |
10 |
30 |
|
Republican – Oppose |
54 |
17 |
59 |
87 |
4 |
90 |
70 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Independent – Favor |
67 |
58 |
68 |
75 |
46 |
68 |
95 |
|
Independent – Oppose |
33 |
42 |
32 |
25 |
54 |
32 |
5 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Democrat – Favor |
56 |
23 |
62 |
85 |
13 |
95 |
54 |
|
Democrat – Oppose |
44 |
77 |
38 |
15 |
87 |
5 |
46 |
Note 1: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding.
*Note 2: Split Sample
TABLE 3
LEVEL OF INFLUENCE IN THE PARTY
"Do you think extreme liberals in the Democratic Party
have…?"
Base: All Adults
| |
|
Ideology |
Party ID |
| |
Total |
Conservative |
Moderate |
Liberal |
Republican |
Democrat |
Independent |
| |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Too much influence |
38 |
67 |
38 |
12 |
66 |
18 |
38 |
|
Too little influence |
22 |
8 |
18 |
58 |
5 |
39 |
23 |
|
Just the right amount of influence |
15 |
10 |
20 |
17 |
10 |
21 |
16 |
|
Not sure |
25 |
16 |
24 |
13 |
19 |
21 |
24 |
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding.
TABLE 4
LEVEL OF INFLUENCE IN THE PARTY
"Do you think extreme conservatives in the Republican
Party have…?"
Base: All Adults
| |
|
Ideology |
Party ID |
| |
Total |
Conservative |
Moderate |
Liberal |
Republican |
Democrat |
Independent |
| |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Too much influence |
53 |
19 |
64 |
86 |
24 |
77 |
63 |
|
Too little influence |
10 |
27 |
4 |
5 |
21 |
4 |
7 |
|
Just the right amount of influence |
16 |
37 |
14 |
3 |
36 |
5 |
11 |
|
Not sure |
21 |
17 |
18 |
6 |
19 |
14 |
19 |
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding.
TABLE 5
LEVEL OF INFLUENCE OF RELIGIOUS RIGHT
"Do you think the Religious Right has…?"
Base: All Adults
| |
|
Ideology |
Party ID |
| |
Total |
Conservative |
Moderate |
Liberal |
Republican |
Democrat |
Independent |
| |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Too much influence in Washington |
48 |
21 |
55 |
80 |
26 |
61 |
60 |
|
Too little influence in Washington |
21 |
39 |
16 |
7 |
33 |
17 |
15 |
|
Just the right amount of influence in Washington |
15 |
26 |
14 |
7 |
26 |
7 |
14 |
|
Not sure |
16 |
14 |
14 |
6 |
15 |
15 |
10 |
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding.
TABLE 6
PARTY LABEL VOTING
"Do you believe there were more or less politicians
willing to vote regularly beyond their party label ten years ago as compared to
today?"
Base: All Adults
| |
|
Ideology |
Party ID |
| |
Total |
Conservative |
Moderate |
Liberal |
Republican |
Democrat |
Independent |
| |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
More politicians 10 years ago |
33 |
33 |
35 |
40 |
35 |
34 |
35 |
|
Same number as 10 years ago |
16 |
19 |
17 |
15 |
19 |
15 |
16 |
|
Less politicians 10 years ago |
25 |
27 |
26 |
27 |
26 |
24 |
28 |
|
Not sure |
26 |
21 |
22 |
17 |
20 |
27 |
21 |
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding.
TABLE 7
CORRUPTION OF MEMBERS OF CONGRESS
"Do you think Members of Congress are more or less
corrupt than they were 10 years ago?"
Base: All Adults
| |
|
Ideology |
Party ID |
| |
Total |
Conservative |
Moderate |
Liberal |
Republican |
Democrat |
Independent |
| |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
More Corrupt |
56 |
56 |
52 |
61 |
50 |
60 |
55 |
|
Neither more or less |
38 |
34 |
41 |
36 |
40 |
36 |
39 |
|
Less Corrupt |
6 |
10 |
6 |
4 |
10 |
4 |
6 |
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding.
TABLE 8
PARTY LINE VOTING
"Do you think we do or do not need more elected
politicians who will vote independently, rather than vote on party lines?"
Base: All Adults
| |
|
Ideology |
Party ID |
| |
Total |
Conservative |
Moderate |
Liberal |
Republican |
Democrat |
Independent |
| |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Yes, we do need more |
85 |
79 |
90 |
88 |
79 |
87 |
94 |
|
No, we do not need more |
15 |
21 |
10 |
12 |
21 |
13 |
6 |
Methodology
The Harris Poll® was conducted online within the
United States between May 4 and 10, 2005 among a nationwide cross section of
2,322 adults (aged 18 and over). Figures for age, sex, race, education, region
and household income were weighted where necessary to bring them into line with
their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score weighting was also
used to adjust for respondents’ propensity to be online.
In theory, with probability samples of this size, one could say with 95
percent certainty that the results for the overall sample have a sampling error
of plus or minus 2 percentage points of what they would be if the entire U.S.
adult population had been polled with complete accuracy. Sampling error for the
following sub-sample results: conservatives (279), moderates (519), liberals
(235), Republicans (360), Democrats (370) and Independents (308) is higher and
varies. Unfortunately, there are several other possible sources of error in all
polls or surveys that are probably more serious than theoretical calculations of
sampling error. They include refusals to be interviewed (nonresponse), question
wording and question order, and weighting. It is impossible to quantify the
errors that may result from these factors. This online sample is not a
probability sample.
These statements conform to the principles of disclosure of the National
Council on Public Polls.
J24152
Q1100
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