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The Harris Poll® #51, June 29, 2005
Majority Believes U.S. Law Enforcement is Using Its Expanded
Investigative Powers Properly in Terrorist Cases But Over Two-Thirds Worry About
Insufficient Civil Liberty Safeguards
Overall, the U.S. public continues to give the Bush administration and law
enforcement fairly high marks in preventing terrorist attacks in the United
States. However, there is still public concern about how surveillance powers are
being used by law enforcement.
In addition, since September 2004 the percentage of adults who feel that a
major terrorist attack will take place in this country in the next 12 months has
declined from 67 percent who said it was at least somewhat likely to a current
55 percent who feel this way.
These are the results of a nationwide Harris Poll of 1,015 U.S. adults
surveyed by telephone by Harris Interactive® between June 7 and 12,
2005.
Some of the key findings from this survey include:
- By 55 to 43 percent, a majority of U.S. adults feel that it is very (15%)
or somewhat (40%) likely that there will be a major terrorist attack in the
next 12 months. This is a decrease from the 67 to 28 percent who felt this
way last September.
- The Bush administration receives a 57 to 42 percent positive rating on the
job it has done in preventing a new terrorist attack. However, this is down
from the 62 to 37 percent positive rating in September and the 70 to 30
percent positive rating in February 2004.
- Just under one in five (18%) U.S. adults feel that the government’s
anti-terrorist program has taken quite a lot or a great deal of their own
personal privacy away. This remains unchanged from September. Another 24
percent feel they have lost a moderate amount of privacy and 57 percent say
that they have lost a little or none at all.
- Overall, when it comes to the possibility of terrorist threats, a 57
percent majority feels that U.S. law enforcement is using its expanded
surveillance powers in a proper way. A third (34%) feels they are not using
these expanded powers in a proper way.
Since September 2001 The Harris Poll® has explored this
issue many times. The U.S. public continues to show strong support for tough
surveillance measures though there are a few circumstances where change has
taken place including:
- Three-quarters (76%) of U.S. adults continue to support "expanded
undercover activity to penetrate groups under suspicion," though this
is down from the 82 percent who felt this way in September 2004 (and 93% in
September 2001).
- Six in ten (62%) favor "closer monitoring of banking and credit card
transactions to trace funding sources" down from 67 percent last
September (and 81% in September 2001).
Others with little change include:
- Eighty-one percent continue to favor "stronger document and physical
security checks for travelers," down slightly since last September’s
83 percent (and 93% in September 2001).
- Six in ten (61%) favor "adoption of a national I.D. system for all
U.S. citizens" virtually unchanged from last September’s 60 percent
(and down from 68% in September 2001).
- Those who favor "law enforcement monitoring of Internet discussions
in chat rooms and other forums" has decreased slightly from 59 percent
last September to a current 57 percent. This is lower than the 63 percent
who felt this way in September 2001.
- Fifty-nine percent continue to support "expanded camera surveillance
on streets and in public places," virtually unchanged from the 60
percent who felt this way in September (63% in September 2001).
- Those who favor "expanded government monitoring of cell phones and
email to intercept communications" has decreased to 37 percent, with 60
percent opposed. Last September, a somewhat higher 39 percent minority
favored this.
Notwithstanding this strong support for tough surveillance measures and
overall confidence that law enforcement will use its expanded powers in a proper
way, majorities continue to have at least moderate reservations that judges, law
enforcement agencies, Congress and the White House might abuse these powers in
hypothetical situations. Specifically:
- Three-quarters (76%) of U.S. adults have at least moderate concern that
"Congress would not include adequate safeguards for civil liberties
when authorizing these increased powers."
- Seventy-five percent have high or moderate concerns that "judges who
authorize investigations would not look closely enough at the justification
of that surveillance."
- Over seven in 10 (72%) have moderate to high concern that "the White
House would not issue proper rules for legal due process for government
surveillance programs."
- Over two-thirds (68%) have moderate or high concern that "law
enforcements agencies would investigate legitimate political and social
groups."
Commenting on these results, Dr. Alan F. Westin of Columbia University and
President of Privacy and American Business states: "When 68 to 76 percent
of the public voices concerns that basic civil liberty safeguards may not be
present in the government’s anti-terrorist programs, this sends a very strong
message to national policy makers. Four years after 9/11, a heavy public
majority is looking to Congress and the courts to see that the Executive Branch
builds appropriate privacy, due process, and equal-protection mechanisms into
current anti-terrorist operations. This seems especially relevant for those
anti-terrorist operations such as frequent traveler screening and general email
monitoring that put most citizens – not just targeted suspects -- under
investigative scrutiny."
TABLE 1
FAVOR/OPPOSE SEVEN PROPOSALS FOR INCREASED LAW ENFORCEMENT
POWERS
"Here are some increased powers of investigation that law
enforcement agencies might use when dealing with people suspected of terrorist
activity, which would also affect our civil liberties. For each, please say if
you would favor or oppose it."
Base: All Adults
| |
|
% |
Favor |
Oppose |
Not Sure/ Decline to Answer |
|
Stronger document and physical security checks for travelers |
June 2005 |
% |
81 |
17 |
2 |
| |
Sept. 2004 |
|
83 |
14 |
3 |
| |
Feb 2004 |
% |
84 |
14 |
1 |
| |
Feb. 2003 |
% |
84 |
14 |
1 |
|
Mar. 2002 |
% |
89 |
9 |
2 |
|
Sept. 2001 |
% |
93 |
6 |
1 |
|
Expanded under-cover activities to penetrate groups under suspicion |
June 2005 |
% |
76 |
20 |
4 |
| |
Sept. 2004 |
% |
82 |
15 |
4 |
| |
Feb 2004 |
% |
80 |
17 |
3 |
| |
Feb. 2003 |
% |
81 |
17 |
2 |
|
Mar. 2002 |
% |
88 |
10 |
2 |
|
Sept. 2001 |
% |
93 |
5 |
1 |
|
Closer monitoring of banking and credit card transactions, to trace
funding sources |
June 2005 |
% |
62 |
35 |
3 |
| |
Sept. 2004 |
% |
67 |
30 |
4 |
| |
Feb 2004 |
% |
64 |
34 |
3 |
| |
Feb. 2003 |
% |
67 |
30 |
2 |
|
Mar. 2002 |
% |
72 |
25 |
2 |
|
Sept. 2001 |
% |
81 |
17 |
2 |
|
Adoption of a national I.D. system for all U.S. citizens |
June 2005 |
% |
61 |
34 |
5 |
| |
Sept. 2004 |
% |
60 |
33 |
6 |
| |
Feb 2004 |
% |
56 |
37 |
2 |
| |
Feb. 2003 |
% |
64 |
31 |
5 |
|
Mar. 2002 |
% |
59 |
37 |
5 |
|
Sept. 2001 |
% |
68 |
28 |
4 |
|
Expanded camera surveillance on streets and in public places |
June 2005 |
|
59 |
40 |
1 |
| |
Sept. 2004 |
% |
60 |
35 |
4 |
| |
Feb 2004 |
% |
61 |
37 |
2 |
| |
Feb. 2003 |
% |
61 |
37 |
1 |
|
Mar. 2002 |
% |
58 |
40 |
2 |
|
Sept. 2001 |
% |
63 |
35 |
2 |
(Continued)
TABLE 1 (Continued)
| |
|
|
Favor |
Oppose |
Not Sure/ Decline to Answer |
|
Law enforcement monitoring of Internet discussions in chat rooms and
other forums |
June 2005 |
% |
57 |
40 |
4 |
| |
Sept. 2004 |
% |
59 |
37 |
5 |
| |
Feb 2004 |
% |
50 |
45 |
6 |
| |
Feb. 2003 |
% |
54 |
42 |
4 |
|
Mar. 2002 |
% |
55 |
41 |
4 |
|
Sept. 2001 |
% |
63 |
32 |
5 |
|
Expanded government monitoring of cell phones and email, to intercept
communications |
June 2005 |
% |
37 |
60 |
3 |
| |
Sept. 2004 |
% |
39 |
56 |
5 |
| |
Feb 2004 |
% |
36 |
60 |
4 |
| |
Feb. 2003 |
% |
44 |
53 |
4 |
|
Mar. 2002 |
% |
44 |
51 |
4 |
|
Sept. 2001 |
% |
54 |
41 |
4 |
TABLE 2
LEVELS OF CONCERN ABOUT FOUR POTENTIAL ABUSES OF POWER
"Now, here are some concerns that people might have about
the way these increased powers might be used by law enforcement. Would you say
you have high concern, moderate concern, not much concern, or no concern at all
about each of the following possibilities?"
Base: All Adults
|
|
|
|
Total Concern (High + Moderate) |
High Concern |
Moderate Concern |
Not Much Concern |
No Concern at All |
Not Sure/ Decline to Answer |
|
Judges who authorize investigations, would not look closely enough at
the justification of that surveillance |
% |
June 2005 |
75 |
37 |
38 |
16 |
7 |
2 |
|
|
% |
Sept. 2004 |
77 |
37 |
40 |
12 |
7 |
5 |
|
|
% |
Feb. 2004 |
78 |
42 |
36 |
12 |
8 |
2 |
|
|
% |
Oct. 2001 |
79 |
44 |
35 |
11 |
7 |
2 |
|
Congress would not include adequate safeguards for civil liberties
when authorizing these increased powers |
|
June 2005 |
76 |
38 |
37 |
14 |
8 |
2 |
|
|
% |
Sept. 2004 |
74 |
35 |
39 |
13 |
7 |
5 |
|
|
% |
Feb. 2004 |
75 |
40 |
35 |
14 |
7 |
4 |
|
|
% |
Oct. 2001 |
78 |
39 |
39 |
12 |
8 |
2 |
|
Law enforcement would investigate legitimate political and social
groups |
% |
June 2005 |
68 |
29 |
39 |
20 |
11 |
2 |
|
|
% |
Sept. 2004 |
68 |
26 |
42 |
19 |
11 |
2 |
|
|
% |
Feb. 2004 |
67 |
27 |
40 |
18 |
13 |
1 |
|
|
% |
Oct. 2001 |
68 |
32 |
36 |
16 |
15 |
1 |
|
The White House would not issue the proper rules for legal due
process for government surveillance programs |
% |
June 2005 |
72 |
36 |
36 |
14 |
10 |
4 |
|
|
% |
Sept. 2004 |
69 |
35 |
34 |
17 |
8 |
6 |
TABLE 3
CONFIDENCE THAT SURVEILLANCE POWERS USED IN PROPER WAY
"Overall, thinking about the possibility of terrorist
threats, do you feel that U.S. law enforcement is using its expanded
surveillance powers in a proper way, or not?"
Base: All Adults
| |
June 2005 |
| |
% |
|
Using expanded surveillance powers in a proper way |
57 |
|
Not using in a proper way |
34 |
|
Not sure/Decline to answer |
8 |
TABLE 4
RATING OF BUSH ADMINISTRATION PREVENTING TERRORIST ATTACK
"How would you rate the job that the Bush Administration
has done preventing a terrorist attack in the United States since September 11,
2001 – excellent, pretty good, only fair, or poor?"
Base: All Adults
| |
February 2004 |
September 2004 |
June 2005 |
| |
% |
% |
% |
|
Excellent |
33 |
29 |
23 |
|
Pretty Good |
37 |
33 |
34 |
|
Only Fair |
20 |
22 |
23 |
|
Poor |
10 |
15 |
18 |
|
Not sure |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Decline to answer |
* |
* |
* |
* Less than 0.5%.
TABLE 5
EXTENT THAT GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS HAVE TAKEN AWAY PERSONAL
PRIVACY
"How much do you feel government anti-terrorist
programs have taken your own personal privacy away since September 11,
2001?"
Base: All Adults
| |
February 2004 |
September 2004 |
June 2005 |
| |
% |
% |
% |
|
A great deal |
8 |
8 |
10 |
|
Quite a lot |
6 |
9 |
7 |
|
A moderate amount |
22 |
21 |
24 |
|
Only a little |
29 |
26 |
25 |
|
None at all |
35 |
35 |
32 |
|
Not sure |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Decline to answer |
* |
* |
* |
* Less than 0.5%.
TABLE 6
LIKELIHOOD OF TERRORIST ATTACK IN NEXT 12 MONTHS
"How likely do you think it is that there will be a major
terrorist attack in this country in the next twelve months?"
Base: All Adults
| |
September 2004 |
June 2005 |
| |
% |
% |
|
Very likely |
17 |
15 |
|
Somewhat likely |
50 |
40 |
|
Not very likely |
20 |
31 |
|
Not likely at all |
8 |
12 |
|
Not sure |
5 |
2 |
|
Decline to answer |
* |
* |
* Less than 0.5%.
Methodology
The Harris Poll® was conducted by telephone within the United
States between June 7 and 12, 2005 among a nationwide cross section of 1,015
adults (aged 18 and over). Figures for age, sex, race, education, number
of adults, number of voice/telephone lines in the household, region and size of
place were weighted where necessary to align them with their actual proportions
in the population.
In theory, with a probability sample of this size, one can say with 95
percent certainty that the results have a sampling error of plus or minus 3
percentage points of what they would be if the entire U.S. adult population had
been polled with complete accuracy. Unfortunately, there are several other
possible sources of error in all polls or surveys that are probably more serious
than theoretical calculations of sampling error. They include refusals to be
interviewed (nonresponse), question wording and question order, interviewer
bias, weighting by demographic control data and screening (e.g., for likely
voters). It is impossible to quantify the errors that may result from these
factors.
These statements conform to the principles of disclosure of the National
Council on Public Polls.
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