The Harris Poll® #4, January 13, 2006

Two in Five U.S. Adults Plan to Take a Vacation within the Next Six Months

California, Florida top U.S. destinations for the coming year

When thinking about taking their next vacation, a majority of U.S. adults (74%) say they will travel within the United States. Among all adults, 41 percent plan to take their next vacation within the next six months, while 26 percent are not sure of when their next vacation will take place. Among those who plan to stay in the United States for their next vacation, California and Florida tie as the states most respondents intend to visit (11% each), and Las Vegas (5%) is the top city tourists intend to visit. Among those planning to venture outside the United States, about one in five (19%) is planning a trip to Mexico.

These are the results of a Harris Poll of 1,718 U.S. adults surveyed online by Harris Interactive® between November 15 and 22, 2005.

Other interesting findings about Americans’ upcoming vacations include:

  • While about one-quarter (24%) of adults who will remain in the states for their next vacation indicate they are not sure which city they intend to travel to during their vacation, only four percent of adults planning to travel abroad are unsure of their destination.
  • After Mexico, other frequently cited countries abroad travelers plan to visit include the Bahamas (6%), Canada (5%), France (5%), Jamaica (4%), Spain (4%) and the United Kingdom (4%).
  • The timeframe for vacation plans does not appear to vary widely across respondent ages. Approximately one-half of Matures (45%) and approximately two in five Baby Boomers (39%), Generation Xers (38%) and Echo Boomers (40%) plan on taking their vacation within the next six months. Echo Boomers are slightly less likely to know when they plan to take their next vacation (37%).

Summer vacations
One-half (50%) of adults have yet to decide if they will go on vacation next summer and one-quarter (24%) have tentative plans but may change their minds. Not surprisingly, finances play a role in vacation planning for many, as about six in 10 (59%) of those who are not sure if they are taking a summer vacation say they will need to make sure of their finances before deciding if travel plans are viable.

Other summer vacation details include:

  • The vast majority (86%) of all adults think their summer vacation travel will be within the United States. For those who plan to summer vacation in the states, California (9%) and Florida (8%) are among the top destination states.
  • However, about one-third (32%) of those planning to take a summer vacation in the United States are not sure which state, and more than two in five (42%) are not sure which city, they will visit this summer.
  • Fourteen percent of all adults plan to travel abroad for their summer vacation. Hispanics (24%) are more likely than whites (12%) or blacks (10%) to say they will travel outside the United States this summer.
  • Mexico is the top summer destination (8%) for those planning to travel abroad this summer, followed closely by the United Kingdom (7%), Italy (5%), Canada (5%) and France (4%).

Promotional offers and their effect on vacation planning

When traveling, one-half (51%) of adults say they "sometimes" or "always" take promotional discounts, loyalty points or added amenities into consideration when deciding on a vacation location. Generation X is the generation most likely to always take these factors into account (13%). Conversely, one half of Echo Boomers (51%) and Matures (52%) say they "rarely" or "never" make decisions about vacation destinations based on promotions.

Table 1
TIMEFRAME OF NEXT VACATION
"When do you plan on taking your next vacation?"

Base: All Adults

   

Generation

 

Total

Echo Boomers (18-27)

Gen X (28-39)

Baby Boomer (40-58)

Matures (59+)

 

n=1,718

n=246

n=252

n=792

n=428

 

%

%

%

%

%

This month

9

8

10

8

8

Next one to three months

18

23

13

16

22

Next four to six months

14

9

15

15

15

Next seven to nine months

13

9

14

14

15

Next 10 to 12 months

12

7

12

13

12

Beyond one year

8

7

10

9

5

Not sure

26

37

27

25

23

Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding.

TABLE 2

TRAVELING INSIDE OR OUSIDE THE UNITED STATES

"Will you be traveling in the U.S. or outside of the U.S. for your next vacation?"

Base: All Adults (n=1,718)

 

%

Inside United States

74

Outside United States

10

Not sure

16

TABLE 3

VACATION DESTINATIONS – TOP u.s. states and cities

"Which state will you be traveling to for your next vacation?"

"Which city will you be traveling to?"

Top five answers given

Base: Those who will travel within U.S. for their next vacation

   

Generation

 

Total

Echo Boomer

(18-27)

Gen X

(28-39)

Baby Boomer

(40-58)

Matures

(59+)

 

n=1,259

n=154

n=185

n=597

n=323

Top 5 U.S. States

%

%

%

%

%

California

11

13

10

8

15

Florida

11

12

14

9

13

Nevada

5

1

5

6

7

Texas

5

7

7

4

3

Arizona

3

*

3

3

5

Georgia

3

3

1

4

3

New York

3

8

5

2

2

South Carolina

3

2

4

2

5

Tennessee

3

1

3

4

2

           

% saying they are not sure which state they will be traveling to

16

12

18

21

9

           

Top 5 U.S. Cities

         

Las Vegas, NV

5

1

5

5

4

Orlando, FL

4

4

6

4

3

Phoenix-Mesa, AZ

3

*

3

2

3

Los Angeles – Long Beach, CA

2

1

4

1

3

Tampa – St. Petersburg, FL

2

--

3

2

2

Atlanta, GA

2

3

--

2

1

           

% saying they are not sure which city they will be traveling to

24

25

25

28

19

TABLE 4

VACATION DESTINATIONS – TOP COUNTRIES

"Which country will you be traveling to for your next vacation?"

Top five answers given

Base: Those who will travel outside the U.S. for their next vacation (n=198)

 

%

Mexico

19

Bahamas

6

Canada

5

France

5

Jamaica

4

Spain

4

United Kingdom

4

   

% saying they are not sure which country they will be traveling to

4

TABLE 5

SUMMER VACATION PLANS

"Thinking ahead to next summer, have you made any vacation plans yet?"

Base: All Adults (n=1,718)

 

%

Have not decided on a vacation yet for next summer

50

Have tentative plans for a vacation but may change my mind

24

Will not take a vacation next summer

17

Have set plans for a vacation for next summer

9

TABLE 6

FACTORS IMPACTING SUMMER VACATION PLANS

"What would need to happen before your decide on your plans?"

Base: Those not sure of vacation plans for next summer (n=1,273)

 

%

Will have to make sure of finances

59

Will have to discuss with family/friends where and when to go

37

Will have to do research into various locations

27

Will have to make sure I can take the time off of work

23

Other

12

Note: Multiple-response question.

TABLE 7

SUMMER VACATION INSIDE OR OUTSIDE OF UNITED STATES

"Do you think your summer vacation will be in the U.S.?"

Base: All Adults

   

Race

 

Total

White

Black

Hispanic

 

n=1,718

n=1,314

n=84*

n=207

 

%

%

%

%

Yes

86

88

90

76

No

14

12

10

24

* Small base. Data should only be used directionally.

TABLE 8

SUMMER VACATION DESTINATIONS – TOP U.S. STATES AND CITIES

"Which state do you plan on visiting during your summer vacation?"

"Which city will you be traveling to?"

Top five answers given

Base: Those who plan to summer vacation in the U.S. (n=1,453)

Top 5 U.S. States

%

California

9

Florida

8

New York

4

Texas

4

South Carolina

3

   

% saying not sure

32

   

Top 5 U.S. Cities

 

Orlando, FL

3

San Diego, CA

2

Los Angeles – Long Beach, CA

2

Las Vegas, NV

2

New York, NY

2

   

% saying not sure

42

TABLE 9

SUMMER VACATION DESTINATIONS – TOP COUNTRIES

"Which country do you plan on visiting during your summer vacation?"

Top five answers given

Base: Those who plan to summer vacation outside the U.S. (n=265)

 

%

Mexico

8

United Kingdom

7

Italy

5

Canada

5

France

4

   

% saying not sure

21

TABLE 10

PROMOTIONAL OFFERS

"Do you ever take promotional offerings like a discount off travel prices, additional loyalty points or added amenities into consideration when deciding on a vacation location?"

Base: All Adults

   

Generation

 

Total

Echo Boomer (18-27)

Gen X (28-39)

Baby Boomer (40-58)

Mature (59+)

 

n=1,718

n=246

n=252

n=792

n=428

 

%

%

%

%

%

Always/Sometimes (Net)

51

49

54

52

48

Always

10

8

13

9

10

Sometimes

41

41

41

42

38

Rarely/Never (Net)

49

51

46

48

52

Rarely

22

19

23

22

24

Never

27

32

23

27

28

Methodology
The Harris Poll® was conducted online within the United States between November 15 and 22, 2005 among a nationwide cross section of 1,718 adults (aged 18 and over). Figures for age, sex, race, education, region and household income were weighted where necessary to bring them into line with their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents’ propensity to be online.

In theory, with probability samples of this size, one could say with 95 percent certainty that the overall results have a sampling error of plus or minus 2 percentage points of what they would be if the entire U.S. adult population had been polled with complete accuracy. Sampling error for the various sub-sample listed in the tables above is higher and varies. Unfortunately, there are several other possible sources of error in all polls or surveys that are probably more serious than theoretical calculations of sampling error. They include refusals to be interviewed (nonresponse), question wording and question order, and weighting. It is impossible to quantify the errors that may result from these factors. This online sample was not a probability sample.

These statements conform to the principles of disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.

J25890
Q800, 805, 808, 809, 810, 815, 820, 825, 827, 828, 830, 828, 830, 835



©2006, Harris Interactive Inc. All rights reserved. Reproduction prohibited without the express written permission of Harris Interactive.



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