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The Harris Poll® #61, August 8, 2006
Doctors and Teachers Most Trusted Among 22 Occupations and
Professions: Fewer Adults Trust the President to Tell the Truth
Actors and lawyers at bottom, with pollsters also fairing
poorly
About half (48%) of U.S. adults generally trust that the President tells the
truth – down substantially from 65 percent in 2002. However, 12 of the 22
professions measured by The Harris Poll® are trusted to be
truthful by 60 percent or more of U.S. adults, with doctors (85%) and teachers
(83%) topping the list. In addition, over half of the occupations measured have
seen an increase in the eyes of the general public to tell the truth when
compared to 2002. This is a turnaround from four years ago when most occupations
saw a decrease in feeling about truthfulness.
These are some of the results of The Harris Poll® conducted
by telephone between July 7 and 10, 2006, by Harris Interactive®
among a nationwide sample of 1,002 U.S. adults.
In addition to doctors and teachers, those rounding out the top five of
generally trusted occupations and professions are scientists (77%), police
officers (76%) and professors (75%). Conversely, the five occupations that are
least trusted to be truthful include actors (26%), lawyers (27%), stockbrokers
(29%), trade union leaders (30%) and opinion pollsters (34%).
Specifically the survey found the following changes in responses since 2002:
- In the past four years the occupations that have received the largest
increase in the percentage of U.S. adults who trust that they tell the truth
are accountants (up 13 percentage points from 55% in 2002 to the current
68%), bankers (up 11 percentage points to 62%), clergymen or priests (an
increase of 10 percentage points to 74%), and scientists (up nine percentage
points to 77%). Doctors and military officers have also shown increases.
Doctors rose eight points to the current 85 percent, and military officers
also increased eight points to 72 percent.
- Others that have shown more modest positive change include police officers
(up seven percentage points to 76%), stockbrokers (up six percentage points
to 29%), judges (up five percentage points to 70%), teachers (up three
percentage points to 83%) and lawyers (up three percentage points to 27%).
- Those who have shown the most substantial drop are the President (a
decrease of 17 percentage points from 65% in 2002 to a current 48%) and
public opinion pollsters (a drop of 10 points to 34%). Others that had a
more modest decrease are civil servants (a drop of three points to 62%) and
TV newscasters (down two points to 44%).
- Those that have shown little or no change in the past four years are
professors (75%), the ordinary man or woman (66%), journalists (39%),
members of Congress (35%), and trade union leaders (30%).
A word about pollsters
Even though many polls (at least in national elections) generally do an
accurate job, a 54 to 34 percent majority of the U.S. adult public does not
believe that pollsters generally tell the truth. Obviously, the results are
disturbing to those of us in the public opinion polling profession. This should
be seen as a wake-up call to the pollsters that we must do more to educate the
public about surveys and work more to earn the public’s trust.
TABLE 1
WHO WOULD YOU GENERALLY TRUST?
"Would you generally trust each of the following types of
people to tell the truth, or not?"
Base: All Adults
| |
Would Trust |
Would Not |
Not Sure/ Refused |
|
% |
% |
% |
|
Doctors |
85 |
12 |
3 |
|
Teachers |
83 |
15 |
2 |
|
Scientists |
77 |
19 |
4 |
|
Police officers |
76 |
21 |
3 |
|
Professors |
75 |
19 |
6 |
|
Clergymen or priests |
74 |
22 |
4 |
|
Military officers |
72 |
26 |
3 |
|
Judges |
70 |
24 |
5 |
|
Accountants |
68 |
28 |
3 |
|
Ordinary man or woman |
66 |
26 |
8 |
|
Civil servants |
62 |
32 |
6 |
|
Bankers |
62 |
34 |
3 |
|
The President |
48 |
47 |
4 |
|
TV newscasters |
44 |
51 |
5 |
|
Athletes |
43 |
47 |
10 |
|
Journalists |
39 |
58 |
3 |
|
Members of Congress |
35 |
63 |
3 |
|
Pollsters |
34 |
54 |
12 |
|
Trade union leaders |
30 |
60 |
10 |
|
Stockbrokers |
29 |
63 |
8 |
|
Lawyers |
27 |
68 |
5 |
|
Actors |
26 |
69 |
5 |
TABLE 2
TREND – WHO WOULD YOU GENERALLY TRUST?
"Would you generally trust each of the following types of
people to tell the truth, or not?"
Those who say they would trust
Base: All Adults
|
|
1998 |
2001 |
2002 |
2006 |
CHANGES Between 1998 & 2006 |
CHANGES Between 2002 & 2006 |
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
Doctors |
83 |
84 |
77 |
85 |
+2 |
+8 |
|
Teachers |
86 |
88 |
80 |
83 |
-3 |
+3 |
|
Scientists |
79 |
76 |
68 |
77 |
-2 |
+9 |
|
Police officers |
75 |
78 |
69 |
76 |
+1 |
+7 |
|
Professors |
77 |
77 |
75 |
75 |
-2 |
- |
|
Clergymen or priests |
85 |
90 |
64 |
74 |
-11 |
+10 |
|
Military officers |
NA |
67 |
64 |
72 |
* |
+8 |
|
Judges |
79 |
75 |
65 |
70 |
-9 |
+5 |
|
Accountants |
NA |
NA |
55 |
68 |
* |
+13 |
|
The ordinary man or woman |
71 |
74 |
65 |
66 |
-5 |
+1 |
|
Civil servants |
70 |
71 |
65 |
62 |
-8 |
-3 |
|
Bankers |
NA |
NA |
51 |
62 |
* |
+11 |
|
The President |
54 |
79 |
65 |
48 |
-6 |
-17 |
|
TV newscasters |
44 |
54 |
46 |
44 |
- |
-2 |
|
Athletes |
NA |
NA |
NA |
43 |
* |
* |
|
Business leaders |
49 |
43 |
NA |
NA |
* |
* |
|
Journalists |
43 |
49 |
39 |
39 |
-4 |
- |
|
Members of Congress |
46 |
42 |
35 |
35 |
-11 |
- |
|
Pollsters |
55 |
51 |
44 |
34 |
-21 |
-10 |
|
Trade union leaders |
37 |
37 |
30 |
30 |
-7 |
- |
|
Stockbrokers |
NA |
NA |
23 |
29 |
* |
+6 |
|
Lawyers |
NA |
NA |
24 |
27 |
* |
+3 |
|
Actors |
NA |
NA |
NA |
26 |
* |
* |
NOTE:
* No trend
- No change
NA Not included
Methodology
This Harris Poll® was conducted by telephone within the United
States between July 7 and 10, 2006 among 1,002 adults (aged 18 and over).
Figures for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, region, number of adults in the
household, number of phone lines in the household were weighted where necessary
to bring them into line with their actual proportions in the population. Note:
respondents were asked about 10-11 occupations each, on a rotating basis.
All surveys are subject to several sources of error. These include: sampling
error (because only a sample of a population is interviewed); measurement error
due to question wording and/or question order, deliberately or unintentionally
inaccurate responses, nonresponse (including refusals), interviewer effects
(when live interviewers are used) and weighting.
With one exception (sampling error) the magnitude of the errors that result
cannot be estimated. There is, therefore, no way to calculate a finite
"margin of error" for any survey and the use of these words should be
avoided.
With pure probability samples, with 100 percent response rates, it is
possible to calculate the probability that the sampling error (but not other
sources of error) is not greater than some number. With a pure probability
sample of 1,002 adults one could say with a 95 percent probability that the
overall results have a sampling error of +/- 3 percentage points. However that
does not take other sources of error into account.
These statements conform to the principles of disclosure of the National
Council on Public Polls.
J28469
QG1, QG2
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