The Harris Poll® #71, September 15, 2006
Political Ratings of U.S. Leaders Rise Moderately Since Last Month
Only one-third of U.S. adults believe country is going in
the right direction
As the summer comes to a close, President George Bush is receiving his
highest job performance numbers in a few months, with about four in 10 (38%)
adults having a positive view (up from 34% in August) and 61 percent holding a
negative view. The view of the direction of the country has also improved, with
31 percent of U.S. adults believing the country is going in the right direction,
as opposed to last month, where just one-quarter (26%) believed the same.
However, fully 59 percent believe it is seriously on the wrong track.
These are some of the results from the latest Harris Poll of 1,004 U.S.
adults surveyed by telephone between September 8 and 11, 2006 by Harris
Interactive®.
With only seven weeks until the November mid-term elections, Harris
Interactive is now looking at voters and what they think about the Congressional
elections. Among registered voters, 35 percent say they are going to vote for
the Republican candidate, while 45 percent say they will vote for the Democratic
candidate. The race is similar if we look at likely voters, (i.e., registered
voters who say they are very or somewhat likely to vote) as 35 percent choose
the Republican candidate, while 46 percent say they will vote for a Democrat.
Thirty-seven percent of interested voters (i.e., registered voters who say they
are very or somewhat interested in the upcoming election) say they are voting
Republican while 47 percent say they are voting Democratic. Turnout will be a
critical factor – especially differential turnout between Republican and
Democratic voters.
Administration ratings
Vice President Dick Cheney continues to receive positive marks from only
three in 10 (30%) U.S. adults while just under two-thirds (64%) view his job
performance in a negative light. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice still
receives the highest performance ratings among all political figures measured in
the poll, as 55 percent have a positive view of her job performance, compared to
42 percent who have a negative view. This is slightly better than her ratings in
June, when 52 percent had a positive view of her job performance and 43 percent
had a negative view. As for Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld, his modest
positive rating has also increased (38% now as compared to 34% in June), while
his substantial negative rating has decreased slightly (60% in June to 58% now).
U.S. Supreme Court Chief Justice John Roberts’ positive job numbers are up
slightly from 41 percent in June to 42 percent. His negative job ratings have
decreased from 41 percent in June to 38 percent.
Congressional ratings
As we get closer to the November mid-term elections, both Democrats and
Republicans have seen a rise in their ratings, but they still have much work to
do to repair their image in the public’s eye. Just one-quarter (24%) of U.S.
adults have a positive view of the job Republicans in Congress are doing, while
29 percent have a positive view of the job Democrats are doing. Two-thirds of
U.S. adults (67%) view the job Democrats are doing negatively, while 71 percent
feel the same about the job the Republicans in Congress are doing. Twenty-four
percent of U.S. adults have a positive view of the overall job Congress is doing
(an increase from 18 percent in May), while 73 percent have a negative view (a
decrease from 80 percent in May).
Much of this negativity toward the two parties in Congress is also seen in
the job performance numbers of some of its leaders.
- Republican Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist has a 25 percent positive
approval rating and a 52 percent negative rating. In June, he had a positive
rating of 23 percent and a negative rating of 55 percent.
- Things aren’t much better for Democratic Senate Minority Leader Harry
Reid, as about one-quarter of adults (23%) give him a positive job approval
rating, while half (52%) view his job performance negatively. This is
slightly better than June, when 19 percent had a positive view of his job
performance and 54 percent had a negative view.
- In the House, Republican Speaker Dennis Hastert has also seen a slight
increase in his approval ratings. This month his positive rating is at 27
percent, up from 24 percent in June, while his negative job rating is at 48
percent, down from 56 percent.
- Republican House Majority Leader John Boehner is another political figure
enjoying just a slight increase in his job performance ratings, as 24
percent of U.S. adults view his job performance positively, while 47 percent
view it negatively. In June, his job ratings were 22 percent positive and 51
percent negative.
Important issues
Again this month, the war in Iraq tops the list of issues for the government
to address, although that has slipped a little, as 22 percent of U.S. adults
believe it is one of two most important issues to address, compared to last
month when 28 percent felt this way. The economy is next at 13 percent, followed
by health care and immigration, each with 12 percent. Interestingly, with the
conclusion of the summer driving season and the continued drop in gas prices,
only four percent now say that gas and oil prices are one of the two most
important issues, compared to eight percent last month.
TABLE 1
CURRENT RATINGS OF PRESIDENT, SENIOR CABINET MEMBERS AND
PARTIES IN CONGRESS
"How would you rate the job (READ ITEM) are/is doing –
excellent, pretty good, only fair, or poor?"
Base: All adults
| | Excellent | Pretty Good | Only Fair | Poor | Not Sure | Positive* | Negative** | Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice | % | 19 | 36 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 55 | 42 | President George W. Bush | % | 12 | 27 | 22 | 38 | 1 | 38 | 61 | Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld | % | 10 | 28 | 25 | 32 | 4 | 38 | 58 | Vice President Dick Cheney | % | 7 | 24 | 29 | 35 | 5 | 30 | 64 | Chief Justice John Roberts | % | 7 | 35 | 30 | 8 | 20 | 42 | 38 | Deputy White House Chief of Staff Karl Rove | % | 6 | 23 | 33 | 21 | 17 | 29 | 53 | House Speaker Dennis Hastert | % | 4 | 23 | 33 | 15 | 25 | 27 | 48 | Republicans in Congress | % | 4 | 21 | 36 | 36 | 4 | 24 | 71 | Congress | % | 3 | 21 | 42 | 31 | 3 | 24 | 73 | Democrats in Congress | % | 3 | 26 | 41 | 26 | 4 | 29 | 67 | Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist | % | 3 | 22 | 33 | 19 | 23 | 25 | 52 | House Majority Leader John Boehner | % | 2 | 22 | 35 | 11 | 29 | 24 | 47 | Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid | % | 1 | 22 | 37 | 15 | 25 | 23 | 52 |
*Positive = excellent or pretty good **Negative = only fair or poor TABLE 2POSITIVE RATINGS: TRENDS SINCE 9/11/01: SUMMARYBase: All adults | POSITIVE RATINGS | Soon After 9/11 | Feb. 2003 | April 2003 | Aug. 2003 | Dec. 2003 | Feb. 2004 | April 2004 | Nov. 2004 | Feb. 2005 | April 2005 | Aug. 2005 | Nov. 2005 | Mar 2006 | June 2006 | Sept. 2006 | President George W. Bush | % | 88 | 52 | 70 | 57 | 50 | 51 | 48 | 50 | 48 | 44 | 40 | 34 | 36 | 33 | 38 | Vice President Dick Cheney | % | 69 | 45 | 55 | 42 | 42 | 41 | 36 | 48 | 45 | 37 | 35 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 30 | Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice | % | ** | ** | ** | ** | ** | ** | ** | ** | 52 | 54 | 57 | 52 | 51 | 52 | 55 | Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld | % | 78 | 56 | 71 | 55 | 57 | 50 | 45 | 47 | 42 | 42 | 40 | 34 | 35 | 34 | 38 |
** N/A TABLE 3PRESIDENT BUSH'S OVERALL JOB RATINGNot Sure’s Excluded"How would you rate the overall job President George W.Bush is doing as president – excellent, pretty good, only fair, or poor?"Base: All adults | | TREND | | Positive* | Negative** | 2006 | September | % | 38 | 61 | | | August (8/24) | % | 34 | 65 | August (8/11) | % | 34 | 66 | July | % | 34 | 65 | June | % | 33 | 67 | May | % | 29 | 71 | April | % | 35 | 63 | March | % | 36 | 64 | February | % | 40 | 58 | January | % | 43 | 56 | 2005 | November | % | 34 | 65 | | | August | % | 40 | 58 | June | % | 45 | 55 | April | % | 44 | 56 | February | % | 48 | 51 | 2004 | November | % | 50 | 49 | | | October | % | 51 | 49 | September | % | 45 | 54 | August | % | 48 | 51 | June | % | 50 | 49 | April | % | 48 | 51 | February | % | 51 | 48 | 2003 | December | % | 50 | 49 | | | October | % | 59 | 40 | August | % | 57 | 41 | June | % | 61 | 36 | April | % | 70 | 29 | February | % | 52 | 46 | 2002 | December | % | 64 | 35 | | | November | % | 65 | 33 | October | % | 64 | 35 | September | % | 68 | 30 | August | % | 63 | 37 | July | % | 62 | 37 | June | % | 70 | 28 | May | % | 74 | 25 | April | % | 75 | 23 | March | % | 77 | 22 | February | % | 79 | 20 | January | % | 79 | 19 | 2001 | December | % | 82 | 17 | | | November | % | 86 | 12 | October | % | 88 | 11 | August | % | 52 | 43 | July | % | 56 | 39 | June | % | 50 | 46 | May | % | 59 | 35 | March | % | 49 | 38 | February | % | 56 | 26 |
*Positive = excellent or pretty good. **Negative = only fair or poor. TABLE 42006 CONGRESSIONAL ELECTIONS"If the election for Congress were being held today,would you be voting for the Republican candidate or the Democraticcandidate?"Base: All adults TREND | | Republican | Democrat | Other+ | Undecided*+ | September | % | 34 | 45 | 15 | 6 | August (8/24) | % | 32 | 47 | 13 | 8 | August (8/11) | % | 30 | 45 | 18 | 7 | July | % | 31 | 44 | 17 | 7 | April | % | 37 | 41 | 15 | 6 | January | % | 34 | 43 | 14 | 9 |
*Undecided = No preference/don’t know/refused +Volunteered response TABLE 52006 CONGRESSIONAL ELECTIONS – By Likely and InterestedVoter"If the election for Congress were being held today,would you be voting for the Republican candidate or the Democraticcandidate?"Base: Registered to vote | | | Republican | Democrat | Other+ | Undecided*+ | Registered Voter | % | 35 | 45 | 14 | 6 | Likely Voter | % | 35 | 46 | 13 | 6 | Interested Voter | % | 37 | 47 | 12 | 4 |
*Undecided = No preference/don’t know/refused +Volunteered response Likely voters are those who are registered and say they are very or somewhatlikely to vote in the election in Nov. Interested voters are those who are registered and say they are very orsomewhat interested in the upcoming elections for Congress TABLE 6RATINGS OF VICE PRESIDENT DICK CHENEYNot Sure's Excluded"And how would you rate the job Vice President Cheney isdoing – excellent, pretty good, only fair or poor?"Base: All adults | | TREND | | Positive* | Negative** | 2006 | September | % | 30 | 64 | | | June | % | 31 | 65 | March | % | 30 | 67 | 2005 | November | % | 30 | 65 | | | August | % | 35 | 60 | June | % | 38 | 56 | April | % | 37 | 60 | February | % | 45 | 52 | 2004 | November | % | 48 | 50 | | | October | % | 47 | 51 | September | % | 40 | 54 | August | % | 40 | 54 | June | % | 42 | 49 | April | % | 36 | 52 | February | % | 41 | 48 | 2003 | December | % | 42 | 47 | | | October | % | 42 | 44 | August | % | 42 | 45 | June | % | 49 | 40 | April | % | 55 | 36 | February | % | 45 | 44 | 2002 | December | % | 50 | 37 | | | November | % | 52 | 39 | October | % | 54 | 37 | September | % | 52 | 37 | August | % | 45 | 43 | July | % | 46 | 41 | June | % | 55 | 34 | May | % | 55 | 33 | April | % | 55 | 31 | March | % | 59 | 29 | February | % | 57 | 31 | January | % | 55 | 31 | 2001 | October | % | 69 | 20 | | | July | % | 39 | 52 |
*Positive = excellent or pretty good. **Negative = only fair or poor. TABLE 7RATINGS OF SECRETARY OF STATE CONDOLEEZZA RICENot Sure's Excluded"And how would you rate the job Secretary of StateCondoleezza Rice is doing – excellent, pretty good, only fair or poor?"Base: All adults | | TREND | | Positive* | Negative** | 2006 | September | % | 55 | 42 | | | June | % | 52 | 43 | March | % | 51 | 44 | 2005 | November | % | 52 | 41 | | | August | % | 57 | 37 | June | % | 52 | 41 | April | % | 54 | 39 | February | % | 52 | 40 |
*Positive = excellent or pretty good. **Negative = only fair or poor. TABLE 8RATINGS OF SECRETARY OF DEFENSE DONALD RUMSFELDNot Sure’s Excluded"And how would you rate the job Secretary of DefenseDonald Rumsfeld is doing – excellent, pretty good, only fair or poor?"Base: All adults | | TREND | | Positive* | Negative** | 2006 | September | % | 38 | 58 | | | June | % | 34 | 60 | March | % | 35 | 61 | 2005 | November | % | 34 | 59 | | | August | % | 40 | 58 | June | % | 42 | 53 | April | % | 42 | 56 | February | % | 42 | 56 | 2004 | November | % | 47 | 50 | | | October | % | 46 | 50 | September | % | 43 | 50 | August | % | 45 | 49 | June | % | 47 | 47 | April | % | 45 | 47 | February | % | 50 | 43 | 2003 | December | % | 57 | 38 | | | October | % | 47 | 44 | August | % | 55 | 36 | June | % | 60 | 32 | April | % | 71 | 22 | February | % | 56 | 35 | 2002 | December | % | 59 | 30 | | | November | % | 59 | 30 | October | % | 60 | 30 | September | % | 61 | 27 | August | % | 60 | 29 | July | % | 56 | 33 | June | % | 65 | 24 | May | % | 67 | 22 | April | % | 70 | 18 | March | % | 71 | 18 | February | % | 70 | 17 | January | % | 77 | 16 | 2001 | December | % | 75 | 14 | | | October | % | 78 | 12 |
*Positive = excellent or pretty good. **Negative = only fair or poor. TABLE 9RATINGS OF HOUSE SPEAKER DENNIS HASTERTNot Sure's Excluded"And how would you rate the job House Speaker DennisHastert is doing – excellent, pretty good, only fair or poor?"Base: All adults | | TREND | | Positive* | Negative** | 2006 | September | % | 27 | 48 | | | June | % | 24 | 56 | March | % | 26 | 49 | 2005 | November | % | 22 | 50 | | | August | % | 26 | 46 | June | % | 28 | 44 | April | % | 30 | 50 | 2004 | September | % | 29 | 33 | | | August | % | 29 | 33 | June | % | 29 | 32 | April | % | 25 | 35 | February | % | 26 | 35 | 2003 | December | % | 24 | 30 | | | October | % | 29 | 35 | August | % | 29 | 36 | June | % | 34 | 31 | April | % | 41 | 29 | February | % | 33 | 34 | 2002 | December | % | 26 | 33 | | | November | % | 30 | 31 | October | % | 30 | 29 | September | % | 35 | 29 | August | % | 29 | 35 | July | % | 28 | 36 | June | % | 34 | 31 | May | % | 33 | 25 | April | % | 32 | 26 | March | % | 33 | 25 | February | % | 37 | 25 | January | % | 40 | 24 | 2001 | October (high) | % | 52 | 16 | | | August (low) | % | 27 | 29 | 2000 | August (high) | % | 29 | 28 | | | July (low) | % | 23 | 31 | 1999 | October (low) | % | 25 | 34 | | | April (high) | % | 36 | 39 |
*Positive = excellent or pretty good. **Negative = only fair or poor. TABLE 10RATINGS OF SENATE MAJORITY LEADER BILL FRISTNot Sure's Excluded"And how would you rate the job Senate Majority LeaderBill Frist is doing – excellent, pretty good, only fair or poor?"Base: All adults | | TREND | | Positive* | Negative** | 2006 | September | % | 25 | 52 | | | June | % | 23 | 55 | March | % | 21 | 55 | 2005 | November | % | 23 | 52 | | | August | % | 28 | 49 | June | % | 28 | 47 | April | % | 32 | 51 | 2004 | September | % | 27 | 40 | | | August | % | 28 | 38 | | | June | % | 30 | 36 | | | April | % | 26 | 36 | | | February | % | 31 | 36 | 2003 | December | % | 27 | 38 | | | October | % | 29 | 34 | August | % | 32 | 35 | June | % | 38 | 32 | April | % | 39 | 29 | February | % | 37 | 30 |
*Positive = excellent or pretty good. **Negative = only fair or poor TABLE 11RATINGS OF SENATE MINORITY LEADER HARRY REIDNot Sure's Excluded"And how would you rate the job Senate Minority LeaderHarry Reid is doing – excellent, pretty good, only fair or poor?"Base: All adults | | TREND | | Positive* | Negative** | 2006 | September | % | 23 | 52 | | | June | % | 19 | 54 | March | % | 19 | 53 | 2005 | August | % | 24 | 47 |
*Positive = excellent or pretty good. **Negative = only fair or poor TABLE 12RATINGS OF HOUSE MAJORITY LEADER JOHN BOEHNERNot Sure's Excluded"And how would you rate the job House Majority LeaderJohn Boehner is doing – excellent, pretty good, only fair or poor?"Base: All adults | | TREND | | Positive* | Negative** | 2006 | September | % | 24 | 47 | | | June | % | 22 | 51 | March | % | 23 | 50 |
*Positive = excellent or pretty good. **Negative = only fair or poor TABLE 13RATINGS OF SUPREME COURT CHIEF JUSTICE JOHN ROBERTSNot Sure's Excluded"And how would you rate the job U.S. Supreme Court ChiefJustice John Roberts is doing – excellent, pretty good, only fair orpoor?"Base: All adults | | TREND | | Positive* | Negative** | 2006 | September | % | 42 | 38 | | | June | % | 41 | 41 | March | % | 41 | 36 |
*Positive = excellent or pretty good. **Negative = only fair or poor TABLE 14CONGRESS’ OVERALL JOB RATINGNot Sure’s Excluded"How would you rate the overall job the Congress is doing– excellent, pretty good, only fair, or poor?"Base: All adults | | TREND | | Positive* | Negative** | 2006 | September | % | 24 | 73 | | | May | % | 18 | 80 | February | % | 25 | 71 | January | % | 25 | 72 |
*Positive = excellent or pretty good. **Negative = only fair or poor. TABLE 15RATINGS OF REPUBLICANS IN CONGRESSNot Sure’s Excluded"And how would you rate the job Republicans in Congressare doing – excellent, pretty good, only fair or poor?"Base: All adults | | TREND | | Positive* | Negative** | 2006 | September | % | 24 | 71 | | | June | % | 25 | 72 | May | % | 20 | 76 | March | % | 27 | 68 | 2005 | November | % | 27 | 69 | | | August | % | 32 | 64 | June | % | 37 | 58 | April | % | 36 | 61 | 2004 | September | % | 38 | 56 | | | August | % | 40 | 54 | June | % | 39 | 53 | April | % | 35 | 55 | February | % | 40 | 52 | 2003 | December | % | 37 | 51 | | | October | % | 40 | 50 | August | % | 41 | 51 | June | % | 45 | 47 | April | % | 52 | 41 | February | % | 43 | 49 | 2002 | December | % | 47 | 47 | | | November | % | 47 | 45 | October | % | 46 | 45 | September | % | 47 | 42 | August | % | 41 | 49 | June | % | 46 | 45 | April | % | 49 | 39 | February | % | 50 | 40 | January | % | 58 | 34 | 2001 | October (high) | % | 67 | 24 | | | August (low) | % | 37 | 52 | 2000 | May (low) | % | 33 | 60 | | | February (high) | % | 38 | 55 | 1999 | October (low) | % | 32 | 58 | | | September (high) | % | 39 | 55 | 1998 | June (low) | % | 31 | 62 | | | February (high) | % | 44 | 53 | 1997 | June (low) | % | 31 | 67 | | | February (high) | % | 38 | 58 | 1996 | May (low) | % | 29 | 69 | | | January (high) | % | 33 | 66 | 1995 | November (low) | % | 35 | 63 | | | April (high) | % | 42 | 56 |
*Positive = excellent or pretty good. **Negative = only fair or poor. TABLE 16RATINGS OF DEMOCRATS IN CONGRESSNot Sure’s Excluded"And how would you rate the job Democrats in Congress aredoing – excellent, pretty good, only fair or poor?"Base: All adults | | TREND | | Positive* | Negative** | 2006 | September | % | 29 | 67 | | | June | % | 26 | 70 | May | % | 23 | 72 | March | % | 24 | 70 | 2005 | November | % | 25 | 70 | | | August | % | 31 | 65 | June | % | 33 | 61 | April | % | 34 | 64 | 2004 | September | % | 34 | 60 | | | August | % | 35 | 58 | June | % | 31 | 59 | April | % | 32 | 57 | February | % | 33 | 58 | 2003 | December | % | 28 | 61 | | | October | % | 34 | 56 | August | % | 30 | 60 | June | % | 41 | 51 | April | % | 39 | 52 | February | % | 38 | 54 | 2002 | December | % | 36 | 55 | | | November | % | 40 | 52 | October | % | 40 | 52 | September | % | 42 | 49 | August | % | 38 | 54 | June | % | 45 | 46 | April | % | 47 | 42 | February | % | 49 | 41 | January | % | 52 | 40 | 2001 | October (high) | % | 68 | 24 | | | May (low) | % | 40 | 51 | 2000 | September (high) | % | 48 | 44 | | | June (low) | % | 38 | 52 | 1999 | October (low) | % | 42 | 50 | | | January (high) | % | 50 | 47 | 1998 | September (high) | % | 49 | 47 | | | June (low) | % | 41 | 53 | 1997 | June (low) | % | 36 | 60 | | | February (high) | % | 43 | 54 | 1996 | May (high) | % | 36 | 62 | | | January (low) | % | 31 | 68 | 1995 | November (high) | % | 34 | 64 | | | July (low) | % | 30 | 66 | 1994 | December | % | 28 | 70 |
*Positive = excellent or pretty good. **Negative = only fair or poor. TABLE 17RIGHT DIRECTION OR WRONG TRACKNo Opinion’s, Not Sure’s and Decline to Answer’sExcluded"Generally speaking, would you say things in the countryare going in the right direction or have they pretty seriously gotten off on thewrong track?"Base: All adults | | TREND | | Right Direction | Wrong Track | 2006 | September | % | 31 | 59 | | | August | % | 26 | 64 | July | % | 28 | 61 | June | % | 28 | 64 | May | % | 24 | 69 | April | % | 27 | 65 | March | % | 31 | 60 | February | % | 32 | 59 | January | % | 33 | 54 | 2005 | November | % | 27 | 68 | | | August | % | 37 | 59 | June | % | 38 | 55 | January | % | 46 | 48 | 2004 | September | % | 38 | 57 | | | June | % | 35 | 59 | 2003 | December | % | 35 | 57 | | | June | % | 44 | 51 | 2002 | December | % | 36 | 57 | | | June | % | 46 | 48 | 2001 | December | % | 65 | 32 | | | June | % | 43 | 52 | January | % | 46 | 39 | 2000 | October | % | 50 | 41 | | | June | % | 40 | 51 | January | % | 50 | 38 | 1999 | June | % | 37 | 55 | | | March | % | 47 | 45 | 1998 | December | % | 43 | 51 | | | June | % | 48 | 44 | 1997 | December | % | 39 | 56 | | | April | % | 36 | 55 | 1996 | December | % | 38 | 50 | | | June | % | 29 | 64 | 1995 | December | % | 26 | 62 | | | June | % | 24 | 65 | 1994 | December | % | 29 | 63 | | | June | % | 28 | 65 |
TABLE 18
MOST IMPORTANT ISSUES FOR GOVERNMENT TO ADDRESS
"What do you think are the two most important
issues for the government to address?"
Spontaneous, unprompted replies
Base: All Adults
| ‘96 | ‘97 | ‘98 | ‘99 | ‘00 | ‘01 | ‘02 | ‘03 | ‘04 | ‘05 | ‘06 | ‘06 | ‘06 | ‘06 | ‘06 | "06 | 06 | | April | May | Jan | Feb | Aug | Dec | Dec | June | Oct | Aug | Feb | April | May | June | July | Aug | Sept | | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | (The) war | X | X | X | X | X | 12 | 18 | 8 | 35 | 41 | 27 | 23 | 28 | 27 | 32 | 28 | 22 | The economy (non-specific) | 14 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 34 | 25 | 28 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 13 | Healthcare (not Medicare) | 16 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 11 | 20 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 12 | Immigration | 2 | 2 | 1 | * | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 20 | 13 | 10 | 12 | Terrorism | X | X | X | X | X | 22 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 9 | Education | 14 | 15 | 14 | 21 | 25 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | Iraq / (Saddam Hussein) | * | * | * | 1 | - | - | 11 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | Employment/jobs | 9 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | Gas and oil prices | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 4 | Military/defense | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Energy | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | x | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | Taxes | 11 | 14 | 16 | 12 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | Social security | X | 6 | 6 | 24 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | Homeland/domestic security/public safety | X | X | X | X | X | 8 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | (Programs for) the poor/ poverty | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | * | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | Environment | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | National security | X | X | X | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | Drugs | 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | * | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | Crime/violence | 16 | 19 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | Budget/Government spending | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | Inflation | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | Peace/world peace/nuclear arms | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | * | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | Medicare | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | Foreign policy (non-specific) | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | Homelessness | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | * | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | Domestic/social issues (non-specific) | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | * | * | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | Air Travel Safety | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | * | * | X | * | X | * | X | * | * | 1 | 1 | Middle East peace process between Palestinians and Israel | X | X | X | X | X | 2 | 2 | 2 | * | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | * | * | 1 | 1 | Abortion | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Ethics in government | * | * | * | * | * | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | * | 1 | 1 | School safety | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2 | * | 1 | 1 | * | * | 1 | * | 1 | 1 | Human/civil/women's rights | 2 | 2 | 1 | * | 1 | 1 | 1 | * | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Bush/president | x | x | x | x | X | X | x | x | X | x | 1 | * | 1 | X | * | * | 1 | Judicial/Legal Issues | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | * | 2 | 1 | * | * | 1 | 1 | * | 1 | Same sex rights | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1 | 1 | * | 1 | * | 2 | 1 | * | * | Welfare | 13 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | * | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | X | * | Downsizing government | X | X | X | X | 1 | * | X | X | 1 | * | * | 1 | * | 1 | * | * | * | Family values (decline of) | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | * | * | 1 | 1 | 1 | * | * | * | 1 | 1 | 1 | * | Honesty/Integrity/ Moral Values | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2 | 2 | * | 1 | * | 1 | 1 | 1 | * | Religion (decline of) | * | * | 1 | * | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | * | * | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | * | Medical research | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | * | * | 1 | * | Election/Voter reform | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1 | 1 | * | 1 | 1 | * | * | * | * | 1 | * | Disaster relief/Hurricane Relief | x | x | x | x | X | X | x | x | X | x | 1 | * | * | 1 | 1 | * | * | North Korea | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2 | * | X | FEMA | x | x | x | x | X | X | x | x | X | x | * | * | * | * | * | 1 | X | CIA leak | x | x | x | x | X | X | x | x | X | x | X | 1 | * | * | * | X | X | Other1 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 2 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 4 | Not sure/refused/no issue | 7 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
* = Less than 0.5% X = Not mentioned as specific issue
1 Including government/politics (nonspecific), housing, AIDS, Foreign
Aid, trade, disability, promoting democracy, race relations, campaign finance,
youth and programs for the elderly (not Medicare/Social Security)
The August column refers to the August 24th release
Methodology
The Harris Poll® was conducted by telephone within the
United States between September 8 and 11, 2006 among a nationwide cross section
of 1,004 adults (aged 18 and over). Figures for age, sex, race/ethnicity,
education, region, number of adults in the household, size of place (urbanicity)
and number of phone lines in the household were weighted where necessary to
bring them into line with their actual proportions in the population.
All surveys are subject to several sources of error. These include: sampling
error (because only a sample of a population is interviewed); measurement error
due to question wording and/or question order, deliberately or unintentionally
inaccurate responses, nonresponse (including refusals), interviewer effects
(when live interviewers are used) and weighting.
With one exception (sampling error) the magnitude of the errors that result
cannot be estimated. There is, therefore, no way to calculate a finite
"margin of error" for any survey and the use of these words should be
avoided.
With pure probability samples, with 100 percent response rates, it is
possible to calculate the probability that the sampling error (but not other
sources of error) is not greater than some number. With a pure probability
sample of 1,004 adults one could say with a ninety-five percent probability that
the overall results have a sampling error of +/-3 percentage points. However
that does not take other sources of error into account.
These statements conform to the principles of disclosure of the National
Council on Public Polls.
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QA1, QA2, QA3, QA4, QA5
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