The Harris Poll® #36, April 26, 2007

President Bush’s Job Performance at Lowest Ever in Harris Poll

Majorities View All U.S. Political Figures in a Negative Light

President George W. Bush’s job performance is currently viewed positively by only 28 percent of U.S. adults, the lowest since he took office. Seven in ten adults view his job performance in a negative light, including almost half (48%) who say his job performance is poor. Since February, the President has dropped from one-third (32%) who viewed his job positively and 67 percent who gave him negative marks.

Vice President Dick Cheney is also at his lowest job approval – just one-quarter of adults view him in a positive light while over two-thirds (68%) view his job performance negatively. This is down from February, which was his previous low, when 29 percent saw his job performance positively and 67 percent saw it in a negative way.

These are some of the results from the latest Harris Poll of 1,001 U.S. adults surveyed by telephone between April 20 and 23, 2007 by Harris Interactive®.

Negative Feelings Not Limited Exclusively Toward President Bush

For the first time, all of the political figures and institutions in our survey have a negative job performance rating. This includes Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice who, for the first time since assuming this office, is viewed negatively by half of adults. In February, 46 percent of adults viewed her positively and 48 percent negatively. However, she still has the highest positive job performance rating at 45 percent.

Secretary of Defense Robert Gates has also trended down in job performance. In February, one-third of adults (32%) gave him positive job performance ratings while half (52%) gave him negative ratings. Now that his has been on the job a little longer, only 29 percent view his job performance in a positive light while 55 percent view it negatively.

The Democratic leaders may have gotten past their first 100 days, but the people are not giving the leaders of the House and the Senate glowing reviews either. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi has fallen from a 38 percent positive rating in February to 30 percent positive now. Well over half (56%) of adults currently view her job performance in a negative light, compared to just 45 percent who did so in February. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid has also dropped. In February, 23 percent viewed him positively while 47 percent viewed his job performance negatively. Currently, over half (52%) see his job performance in a negative light while just 22 percent gives it positive ratings.

Opinions on Congress overall, as well as the two parties, have also dropped considerably in the past two months. Just over one-quarter (27%) view Congress’ job performance positively while 69 percent view the job they are doing negatively. This is down from one-third who viewed it positively in February and 62 percent who viewed it negatively.

Sometimes, moving from the majority to the minority can give a party a breath of fresh life as they adjust to their new status. Republicans have yet to see this as they drop in their job performance ratings. Just one in five (22%) of adults think Republicans are doing a good job while three-quarters (74%) look at their job performance negatively. This is a drop from February when 26 percent of adults saw Republicans’ job performance as positive and 69 percent who looked at it in a negative light. Democrats saw a small upswing in their numbers in February when 41 percent saw their job performance in a positive light and just half (52%) viewed it negatively. Now that they have actually been in office for a few months, the newness may have worn off as just one-third (35%) of adults look at the job performance of Democrats in Congress in a positive way while 58 percent view their performance negatively.

The Sense Being Off Track is Not Limited to Political Figures

Just one quarter (26%) of U.S. adults think things in the country are going in the right direction while two-thirds (69%) think things have gotten off on the wrong track. Again, this is worse than in February when 29 percent of adults saw things going in the right direction while 62 percent said things were going off on the wrong track. Overall this survey suggests not a swing from Republicans to Democrats, but rather a mood of "a plague on all your houses".

U.S. Adults Have Important Public Policy Issues

With regard to the most important issues, yet again, the war tops the list as three in ten (30%) say that it is one of the two most important issues for the government to address. As a distant second is health care (15%) and then Iraq (13%), the economy (10%) and immigration and education (each at 9%). As this survey was conducted the weekend after the shootings at Virginia Tech, it is not surprising to see a rise in certain numbers. For example, crime/violence rose from two percent thinking it was an important issue in February to 6 percent this month. The issue of school safety also rose from less than half a percent in February to two percent this month as did the issue of the Second Amendment.

TABLE 1

CURRENT RATINGS OF PRESIDENT, SENIOR CABINET MEMBERS AND PARTIES IN CONGRESS

"How would you rate the job (READ ITEM) are/is doing – excellent, pretty good, only fair, or poor?"

Base: All adults

ExcellentPretty Good

Only Fair

PoorNot Sure

Positive*Negative**
%%%%%%%

Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice

1233292164550

President George W. Bush

722224822870

Democrats in Congress

529342473558

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi

5253323143056

Vice President Dick Cheney

520254472568

Defense Secretary Robert Gates

4253619162955

Congress

324432742769

Republicans in Congress

320413342274

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid

2193517262252

*Positive = excellent or pretty good

**Negative = only fair or poor

TABLE 2

POSITIVE RATINGS: TRENDS SINCE 9/11/01: SUMMARY

Base: All adults

POSITIVE RATINGS

Soon After 9/11Feb. 2003

April 2003

Feb. 2004

April 2004

Nov. 2004

Feb. 2005

April 2005Nov. 2005

Mar 2006May 2006Sept. 2006

Feb. 2007April 2007

%%%%%%%%%%%%%%

President George W. Bush

8852705148504844343629383228

Vice President Dick Cheney

69455541364845373030**302925

Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice

************52545251**554645

** Not Applicable. The question was not asked

TABLE 3

PRESIDENT BUSH'S OVERALL JOB RATING

Not Sure’s Excluded

"How would you rate the overall job President George W. Bush is doing as president – excellent, pretty good, only fair, or poor?"

Base: All adults

 TRENDPositive*Negative**
%%

2007

April2870
 February3267

2006

November3167
 October (10/25)3463
October (10/13)3464
September3861
August (8/24)3465
August (8/11)3466
July3465
June3367
May2971
April3563
March3664
February4058
January4356

2005

November3465
 August4058
June4555
April4456
February4851

2004

November5049
 October5149
September4554
August4851
June5049
April4851
February5148

2003

December5049
 October5940
August5741
June6136
April7029
February5246

2002

December6435
 November6533
October6435
August6337
May7425
April7523
February7920
January7919

2001

December8217
 November8612
October8811
August5243
June5046
May5935
March4938
February5626

*Positive = excellent or pretty good. **Negative = only fair or poor.

TABLE 4

RATINGS OF VICE PRESIDENT DICK CHENEY

Not Sure's Excluded

"And how would you rate the job Vice President Cheney is doing – excellent, pretty good, only fair or poor?"

Base: All adults

 TRENDPositive*Negative**
%%

2007

April2568
 February2967

2006

September3064
 June3165
March3067

2005

November3065
 August3560
June3856
April3760
February4552

2004

November4850
 October4751
August4054
June4249
April3652
February4148

2003

December4247
 October4244
August4245
June4940
April5536
February4544

2002

December5037
 November5239
October5437
September5237
August4543
June5534
April5531
March5929
February5731
January5531

2001

October6920
 July3952

*Positive = excellent or pretty good.

**Negative = only fair or poor.

TABLE 5

RATINGS OF SECRETARY OF STATE CONDOLEEZZA RICE

Not Sure's Excluded

"And how would you rate the job Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice is doing – excellent, pretty good, only fair or poor?"

Base: All adults

 TRENDPositive*Negative**
%%

2007

April4550
 February4648

2006

September5542
 June5243
March5144

2005

November5241
 August5737
June5241
April5439
February5240

*Positive = excellent or pretty good.

**Negative = only fair or poor.

TABLE 6

RATINGS OF SECRETARY OF DEFENSE ROBERT GATES

Not Sure’s Excluded

"And how would you rate the job Secretary of Defense Robert Gates is doing – excellent, pretty good, only fair or poor?"

Base: All adults

 TRENDPositive*Negative**
%%

2007

April2955
 February3252

*Positive = excellent or pretty good.

**Negative = only fair or poor.

TABLE 7

RATINGS OF HOUSE SPEAKER NANCY PELOSI

Not Sure's Excluded

"And how would you rate the job House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is doing – excellent, pretty good, only fair or poor?"

Base: All adults

 TRENDPositive*Negative**
%%

2007

April3056
 February3845

*Positive = excellent or pretty good.

**Negative = only fair or poor.

TABLE 8

RATINGS OF SENATE MAJORITY LEADER HARRY REID

Not Sure's Excluded

"And how would you rate the job Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid is doing – excellent, pretty good, only fair or poor?"

Base: All adults

 TRENDPositive*Negative**
%%

2007

April2252
 February2347

2006

September2352
 June1954
March1953

2005

August2447

***Prior to February, 2007, Sen. Reid was the Senate Minority Leader

*Positive = excellent or pretty good.

**Negative = only fair or poor

TABLE 9

CONGRESS’ OVERALL JOB RATING

Not Sure’s Excluded

"How would you rate the overall job the Congress is doing– excellent, pretty good, only fair, or poor?"

Base: All adults

 TRENDPositive*Negative**
%%

2007

April2769
 February3362

2006

September2473
 May1880
February2571
January2572

*Positive = excellent or pretty good.

**Negative = only fair or poor.

TABLE 10

RATINGS OF REPUBLICANS IN CONGRESS

Not Sure’s Excluded

"And how would you rate the job Republicans in Congress are doing – excellent, pretty good, only fair or poor?"

Base: All adults

 TRENDPositive*Negative**
%%

2007

April2274
 February2669

2006

November2472
 September2471
June2572
May2076
March2768

2005

November2769
 August3264
June3758
April3661

2004

September3856
 August4054
June3953
April3555
February4052

2003

December3751
 October4050
August4151
June4547
April5241
February4349

2002

December4747
 November4745
October4645
September4742
August4149
June4645
April4939
February5040
January5834

2001

October (high)6724
 August (low)3752

2000

May (low)3360
 February (high)3855

1999

October (low)3258
 September (high)3955

1998

June (low)3162
 February (high)4453

1997

June (low)3167
 February (high)3858

1996

May (low)2969
 January (high)3366

1995

November (low)3563
 April (high)4256

*Positive = excellent or pretty good.

**Negative = only fair or poor.

TABLE 11

RATINGS OF DEMOCRATS IN CONGRESS

Not Sure’s Excluded

"And how would you rate the job Democrats in Congress are doing – excellent, pretty good, only fair or poor?"

Base: All adults

 TRENDPositive*Negative**
%%

2007

April3558
 February4152

2006

November3657
 September2967
June2670
May2372
March2470

2005

November2570
 August3165
June3361
April3464

2004

September3460
 August3558
June3159
April3257
February3358

2003

December2861
 October3456
August3060
June4151
April3952
February3854

2002

December3655
 November4052
October4052
September4249
August3854
June4546
April4742
February4941
January5240

2001

October (high)6824
 May (low)4051

2000

September (high)4844
 June (low)3852

1999

October (low)4250
 January (high)5047

1998

September (high)4947
 June (low)4153

1997

June (low)3660
 February (high)4354

1996

May (high)3662
 January (low)3168

1995

November (high)3464
 July (low)3066

1994

December2870

*Positive = excellent or pretty good.

**Negative = only fair or poor.

TABLE 12

RIGHT DIRECTION OR WRONG TRACK

No Opinion’s, Not Sure’s and Decline to Answer’s Excluded

"Generally speaking, would you say things in the country are going in the right direction or have they pretty seriously gotten off on thewrong track?"

Base: All adults

 TRENDRight DirectionWrong Track
%%

2007

April2667
 February2962

2006

November3158
 October (10/25)2763
October (10/13)2962
September3159
August2664
July2861
June2864
May2469
April2765
March3160
February3259
January3354

2005

November2768
 August3759
June3855
January4648

2004

September3857
 June3559

2003

December3557
 June4451

2002

December3657
 June4648

2001

December6532
 June4352
January4639

2000

October5041
 June4051
January5038

1999

June3755
 March4745

1998

December4351
 June4844

1997

December3956
 April3655

1996

December3850
 June2964

1995

December2662
 June2465

1994

December2963
 June2865

TABLE 13

MOST IMPORTANT ISSUES FOR GOVERNMENT to address

"What do you think are the two most important issues for the government to address?"

Spontaneous, unprompted replies

Base: All Adults

‘96‘97‘98‘99‘00‘01‘02‘03‘04‘05‘06‘06"0606060707
AprilMayJanFebAugDecDecJuneOctAugFebJuneAugOctNovFebApril
%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%

(The) war

XXXXX12188354127272829332930

Healthcare (not Medicare)

161011121551014181120121213151215

Iraq / (Saddam Hussein)

***1--113965878101013

The economy (non-specific)

14897532342528191514161512910

Education

1415142125121113788789779

Immigration

221*11122352010121179

Crime/violence

161913810123131232226

Terrorism

XXXXX221711776497395

Taxes

11141612136511856445575

Employment/jobs

953447881035766745

Environment

13233132132322244

Foreign policy (non-specific)

33543242323223244

Social security

X6624163244107525434

Military/defense

12224415313433333

Gas and oil prices

XXXXXXX11102884113

Second Amendment (right to bear arms)

XX****X*********2

Religion (decline of)

**1*12111**111122

Domestic/social issues (non-specific)

4232222122*31*112

Homeland/domestic security/public safety

XXXXX893623243232

School safety

XXXXXXX2*1111***2

Energy

XXXXXXX1144442122

Budget/Government spending

XXXXXXXXXXX523352

Drugs

48625233*21121132

(Programs for) the poor/ poverty

23223123*45435322

Medicare

34556114325112312

Abortion

42226111421112112

Peace/world peace/nuclear arms

31331223*11121111

Welfare

1314842113*311X1111

Family values (decline of)

22121**111*111111

Election/Voter reform

XXXXXX11*11*1**21

Bush/president

xxxxXXxxXx1X*1x*1

Downsizing government

XXXX1*XX1**1***11

AIDS

1*1x***2x***1**21

National security

XXX22636522232221

Homelessness

34433221*11121121

Human/civil/women's rights

221*111*111111121

Ethics in government

*****1111111112*1

Inflation

XXXXXXXXX11211221

Judicial/Legal Issues

XXXXXXXX*211**111

Honesty/Integrity/Moral Values

XXXXXXXX22*111*1*

Middle East peace process between Palestinians and Israel

XXXXX222*11*1*1**

FEMA

xxxxXXxxXx**1Xx**

Disaster relief/Hurricane Relief

xxxxXXxxXx11***1*

Same sex rights

XXXXXXXX11*2*1*1*

Medical research

XXXXXXX2212*1*11*

Air Travel Safety

-----1**X*X*1X***

Other1

7819219388815658866

Not sure/refused/no issue

791216181110129866610998

* = Less than 0.5%, X = Not mentioned as specific issue

1 Including government/politics (nonspecific), housing, Foreign Aid, trade, disability, promoting democracy, race relations, campaign finance, youth and programs for the elderly (not Medicare/Social Security)

The August column refers to the August 24th release

Methodology

The Harris Poll® was conducted by telephone within the United States between April 20 and 23, 2007 among a nationwide cross section of 1,001 adults (aged 18 and over). Figures for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, region, number of adults in the household, size of place (urbanicity) and number of phone lines in the household were weighted where necessary to bring them into line with their actual proportions in the population.

All surveys are subject to several sources of error. These include: sampling error (because only a sample of a population is interviewed); measurement error due to question wording and/or question order, deliberately or unintentionally inaccurate responses, nonresponse (including refusals), interviewer effects (when live interviewers are used) and weighting.

With one exception (sampling error) the magnitude of the errors that result cannot be estimated. There is, therefore, no way to calculate a finite "margin of error" for any survey and the use of these words should be avoided.

With pure probability samples, with 100 percent response rates, it is possible to calculate the probability that the sampling error (but not other sources of error) is not greater than some number. With a pure probability sample of 1,001, one could say with a ninety-five percent probability that the overall results would have a sampling error of +/-3 percentage points. However that does not take other sources of error into account.

These statements conform to the principles of disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.

J30773

QA1, QA2, QA3



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