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The Harris Poll®
#95, October 1, 2007
Dallas Cowboys and Indianapolis Colts are Two Favorite Teams
Among U.S. Adults Who Follow Professional Football, According to Harris Poll
One-quarter Think Indianapolis Colts Will Win the Super Bowl
The Dallas Cowboys may be a few years from their last Super
Bowl, but they are the favorite football team among adults who follow
professional football, rising one spot since last year. Since this survey began
in 1998, the Cowboys have always been in one of the top four positions, usually
in the top two. The Indianapolis Colts have continued their steady rise in the
rankings and move up one spot, from No. 3 last year to No 2 this year. In 1999,
the Colts were tied for No. 27 and have moved up each year since. Rounding out
the top five are the Pittsburgh Steelers (No. 3, dropping from No. 1 last year),
the Green Bay Packers (remaining at No. 4) and the Chicago Bears (No. 5, moving
up one spot).
These are the results of a nationwide survey conducted online
by Harris Interactive® between September 11 and 18, 2007 among 2,392
U.S. adults, of whom 1,182 follow professional football.
Other results from this year’s poll include:
- The two teams that made the largest movements up the list since last year
are the San Diego Chargers who moved up from tied for 23rd to No.
10, a jump of 13 spots, and the New Orleans Saints, who moved up 10
positions, from No. 31 to tied for No. 21;
- The two teams that lost the most ground since last year are the Tennessee
Titans, who dropped 11 spots, from No. 15 in 2006 to tied for No. 26 this
year, and the Detroit Lions, who moved from tied for No. 17 to No. 25, a
drop of eight points;
- Regionally speaking, the New York Giants are the No. 1 favorite of those
in the East, while the Green Bay Packers are No. 1 for those in the Midwest.
In the South, the Cowboys come out on top and in the West, the San Francisco
49ers are the favorite team;
- The percentage of those who say they follow professional football remains
stable at about half of all adults (49% this year);
- Perhaps, not surprisingly, men (63%) are more likely to follow
professional football than women (37%);
- Over half (55%) of Baby Boomers (those aged 43-61) follow football, making
it the largest generation of football followers. Just under half (49%) of
both Gen Xers (those aged 31-42) and Matures (those aged 62 and older)
follow football but just 42 percent of Echo Boomers (those aged 18-30)
follow the sport;
- The more education one has, the more likely one follows professional
football. While three in five (60%) of those with a post grad degree follow
football, 45 percent of those with a high school degree or less follow it.
Harris Interactive also asked adults who follow professional
football to look into the future and say which team they think will win the
Super Bowl. One-quarter (25%) say that the Indianapolis Colts will be the
winners, while 23 percent say that it will be New England Patriots. These are
the only two teams in double digits, but there are always die-hard fans for
every team, as each of the 32 NFL teams are named as a potential Super Bowl
winner by at least some respondents (albeit some at a very small percentage).
TABLE 1
WHO FOLLOWS PROFESSIONAL FOOTBALL
"Do you follow
professional football?"
Summary of Yes Responses
Base: All adults
| |
Total |
|
% |
|
2007 |
49 |
|
2006 |
48 |
|
2005 |
49 |
|
2004 |
51 |
|
2003 |
50 |
|
2002 |
47 |
|
1999 |
53 |
|
1998 |
55 |
|
1997 |
51 |
|
1996 |
52 |
|
1995 |
49 |
|
1993 |
46 |
|
1992 |
49 |
TABLE 2
WHO FOLLOWS PROFESSIONAL FOOTBALL – BY DEMOGRAPHIC GROUP
(2007)
"Do you follow
professional football?"
Summary of Yes Responses
Base: All adults
| |
Total |
|
% |
|
All Adults |
49 |
|
Sex |
|
Male |
63 |
|
Female |
37 |
|
Age |
|
Echo Boomers (18 – 30) |
42 |
|
Generation X (31 – 42) |
49 |
|
Baby Boomers (43 – 61) |
55 |
|
Matures (62+) |
49 |
|
Race/Ethnicity |
|
White |
48 |
|
Black |
63 |
|
Hispanic |
51 |
|
Region |
|
East |
52 |
|
Midwest |
54 |
|
South |
44 |
|
West |
50 |
|
Household Income |
|
Less than $35,000 |
41 |
|
$35,000 to $49,999 |
54 |
|
$50,000 to $74,999 |
54 |
|
$75,000 and over |
59 |
|
Education |
|
High School or less |
45 |
|
Some college |
51 |
|
College graduate |
55 |
|
Post graduate |
60 |
|
Party |
|
Republican |
52 |
|
Democrat |
49 |
|
Independent |
52 |
|
Political Philosophy |
|
|
Conservative |
46 |
|
Moderate |
54 |
|
Liberal |
45 |
TABLE 3
FAVORITE NFL TEAM
"What are your two
favorite National Football League teams?"
Base: Adults who follow professional football
|
|
1998 |
1999 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
|
Dallas Cowboys |
1 |
1 |
4 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
|
Indianapolis Colts |
23 |
=27 |
=23 |
23 |
11 |
9 |
3 |
2 |
|
Pittsburgh Steelers |
5 |
5 |
6 |
10 |
=15 |
=3 |
1 |
3 |
|
Green Bay Packers |
2 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
4 |
|
Chicago Bears |
7 |
10 |
11 |
8 |
=6 |
8 |
6 |
5 |
|
New England Patriots |
16 |
11 |
=8 |
19 |
3 |
=3 |
5 |
6 |
|
New York Giants |
=8 |
9 |
7 |
=11 |
4 |
13 |
9 |
7 |
|
Philadelphia Eagles |
12 |
21 |
16 |
20 |
5 |
5 |
7 |
8 |
|
San Francisco 49ers |
3 |
2 |
2 |
5 |
8 |
6 |
8 |
9 |
|
San Diego Chargers |
26 |
=23 |
=27 |
26 |
31 |
27 |
=23 |
10 |
|
Oakland Raiders |
=8 |
=19 |
3 |
3 |
12 |
7 |
10 |
11 |
|
Washington Redskins |
10 |
8 |
10 |
6 |
10 |
14 |
16 |
12 |
|
Cleveland Browns |
NA |
12 |
15 |
15 |
=24 |
15 |
19 |
13 |
|
Miami Dolphins |
6 |
6 |
14 |
9 |
13 |
=18 |
=13 |
=14 |
|
Carolina Panthers |
13 |
30 |
22 |
24 |
18 |
=16 |
=13 |
=14 |
|
Denver Broncos |
4 |
4 |
=8 |
17 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
16 |
|
New York Jets |
17 |
13 |
12 |
16 |
=6 |
=11 |
22 |
17 |
|
Cincinnati Bengals |
25 |
=25 |
=27 |
28 |
=24 |
30 |
=23 |
18 |
|
Minnesota Vikings |
14 |
7 |
13 |
7 |
=15 |
=16 |
21 |
=19 |
|
Seattle Seahawks |
22 |
15 |
=18 |
=21 |
14 |
24 |
12 |
=19 |
|
New Orleans Saints |
24 |
=19 |
25 |
29 |
30 |
29 |
31 |
=21 |
|
Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
15 |
17 |
=18 |
4 |
17 |
=11 |
=17 |
=21 |
|
St. Louis Rams |
30 |
29 |
5 |
=11 |
20 |
=21 |
26 |
=23 |
|
Kansas City Chiefs |
11 |
16 |
20 |
13 |
=21 |
=21 |
20 |
=23 |
|
Detroit Lions |
=19 |
22 |
21 |
30 |
26 |
=18 |
=17 |
25 |
|
Tennessee Titans |
29 |
31 |
17 |
14 |
23 |
=25 |
15 |
=26 |
|
Baltimore Ravens |
27 |
=25 |
32 |
25 |
29 |
28 |
30 |
=26 |
|
Atlanta Falcons |
=19 |
18 |
26 |
27 |
=21 |
=18 |
=23 |
28 |
|
Arizona Cardinals |
28 |
=23 |
31 |
32 |
32 |
31 |
29 |
29 |
|
Buffalo Bills |
18 |
14 |
=23 |
18 |
27 |
23 |
27 |
30 |
|
Houston Texans |
NA |
N/A |
30 |
=21 |
19 |
=25 |
28 |
31 |
|
Jacksonville Jaguars |
=19 |
=27 |
=27 |
31 |
28 |
32 |
32 |
32 |
"=" indicates a tie
NA = not applicable for that year.
Note: Respondents provided list of teams
In 1998, 1999 the Tennessee Titans were the Houston Oilers.
TABLE 4
TOP FIVE NFL TEAMS – BY REGION
"What are your two
favorite National Football League teams?"
Base: Adults who follow professional football
|
Region |
|
East |
Midwest |
South |
West |
|
New York Giants |
Green Bay Packers |
Dallas Cowboys |
San Francisco 49ers |
|
Pittsburgh Steelers |
Chicago Bears |
Indianapolis Colts |
San Diego Chargers |
|
New England Patriots |
Indianapolis Colts |
Carolina Panthers |
Oakland Raiders |
|
Philadelphia Eagles |
Cleveland Browns |
Washington Redskins |
Dallas Cowboys |
|
New York Jets |
Detroit Lions |
Pittsburgh Steelers |
Denver Broncos |
TABLE 5
SUPER BOWL WINNER
"Regardless of your
favorite team, who do you think will win the Super Bowl this year?"
Base: Adults who follow professional football
|
|
Total |
|
% |
|
Indianapolis Colts |
25 |
|
New England Patriots |
23 |
|
San Diego Chargers |
8 |
|
Dallas Cowboys |
7 |
|
Pittsburgh Steelers |
6 |
|
Chicago Bears |
5 |
|
Green Bay Packers |
4 |
|
Philadelphia Eagles |
2 |
|
Seattle Seahawks |
2 |
|
New Orleans Saints |
2 |
|
Minnesota Vikings |
2 |
|
New York Giants |
2 |
|
Washington Redskins |
1 |
|
Baltimore Ravens |
1 |
|
Jacksonville Jaguars |
1 |
|
Denver Broncos |
1 |
|
Tennessee Titans |
1 |
|
St. Louis Rams |
1 |
|
San Francisco 49ers |
1 |
|
Carolina Panthers |
1 |
|
Oakland Raiders |
1 |
|
Kansas City Chiefs |
1 |
|
Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
1 |
|
Detroit Lions |
1 |
|
Houston Texans |
* |
|
Cincinnati Bengals |
* |
|
Miami Dolphins |
* |
|
New York Jets |
* |
|
Arizona Cardinals |
* |
|
Buffalo Bills |
* |
|
Atlanta Falcons |
* |
|
Cleveland Browns |
* |
*Less than 0.5 percent.
Methodology
This Harris Poll® was conducted online within the
United States between September 11 and 18, 2007 among 2,392 adults (aged 18 and
over) of whom 1,182 follow professional football. Figures for age, sex,
race/ethnicity, education, region and household income were weighted where
necessary to bring them into line with their actual proportions in the
population. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents’
propensity to be online.
All sample surveys and polls, whether or not they use
probability sampling, are subject to multiple sources of error which are most
often not possible to quantify or estimate, including sampling error, coverage
error, error associated with nonresponse, error associated with question wording
and response options, and post-survey weighting and adjustments. Therefore,
Harris Interactive avoids the words "margin of error" as they are
misleading. All that can be calculated are different possible sampling errors
with different probabilities for pure, unweighted, random samples with 100%
response rates. These are only theoretical because no published polls come close
to this ideal.
Respondents for this survey were selected from among those
who have agreed to participate in Harris Interactive surveys. The data have been
weighted to reflect the composition of the adult population. Because the sample
is based on those who agreed to participate in the Harris Interactive panel, no
estimates of theoretical sampling error can be calculated.
These statements conform to the principles of disclosure of
the National Council on Public Polls.
J31984
Q850, 855, 858
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