New Financial Times/Harris Poll Shows Majorities in Five Western European Countries Do Not Consider Russia a Democracy

  • Most Europeans not sure, or do not think that, Vladmir Putin can be trusted
  • Many worry that Europe is too heavily dependent on Russia for energy
  • Europeans view modern-day Russia as more of a partner than threat
  • Europeans agree more energy supply diversification needed
  • Substantial numbers in each country support Russia’s continued membership in G8
  • General support for Russia’s and Ukraine’s admission into the European Union

ROCHESTER, N.Y. and LONDON – 15 July 2006 – A new poll of adults in five European countries, reported in today’s Financial Times, shows that majorities across those countries do not consider Russia a democracy. The poll indicates, as well, that majorities in these countries are either unsure or do not think that the European Union can trust Russia’s leader Vladmir Putin.

Results also show that adults in Italy are more likely than those in France, Germany, Great Britain or Spain to view modern-day Russia as a democracy, to support Russia’s continued membership in the G8 and its admission to the EU. In contrast, Italian respondents are most worried that Western Europe is heavily depending on Russia for energy supplies and they feel most strongly that Russian countries should not be allowed to buy energy companies and other leading businesses in the EU.

These are some of the results of a Financial Times/Harris Poll conducted online by Harris Interactive® between July 6 and 12, 2006 among 2,623 adults, ages 16 years and over from France, Germany, Great Britain, Italy and Spain.

Most countries seem to worry that Western Europe is heavily dependent on Russia for its energy supplies. France is the only country where fewer than half of adults express this concern. Additionally, majorities across all European countries surveyed agree that the EU should do more to encourage the diversification of energy supplies.

Respondents in France and Germany are significantly more likely to oppose both Russia’s and the Ukraine’s admission into the European Union. In contrast, respondents in Italy and Spain are significantly more likely to support their admission into the EU.

Adults in Spain and Germany are more likely to oppose Russia’s continued membership in the G8 than those among the other European countries surveyed. In contrast, three-quarters (77%) in Italy support Russia’s continued membership in the G8. Italian’s, generally, are much more likely to have an opinion about this matter (only 15% responded "not sure", versus 33% or higher among those in other countries).

Some other findings of the poll reveal:

  • Majorities in each of the five countries consider Gorbachev the best leader of the Soviet Union/Russia within the past 20 years, when asked to select among Gorbachev, Putin and Yeltsin. But one in five (20%) in Italy consider Putin the best leader of the Soviet Union/Russia, which is the highest percentage of all European countries surveyed.
  • In the five European countries surveyed overall 30 percent of adults say that the U.S. is the greatest threat to global stability, followed by North Korea (20%) and Iran (17%). Adults in Spain are most likely to view the U.S. as the greatest threat.

TABLE 1

RUSSIA A DEMOCRACY

"Would you describe Russia as a democracy?"

Base: All European adults

Total

Country

Great Britain

France

Italy

Spain

Germany

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes

16

12

13

24

16

15

No

59

52

62

57

63

61

Not sure

25

36

24

19

21

25

Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding.

TABLE 2

CAN THE EUROPEAN UNION TRUST VLADIMIR PUTIN

"In your opinion, can the European Union trust Vladimir Putin?"

Base: All European adults

Total

Country

Great Britain

France

Italy

Spain

Germany

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes

20

16

13

35

18

20

No

36

34

44

31

36

32

Not sure

44

50

43

34

46

48

Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding.

TABLE 3

WORRIED THAT WESTERN EUROPE HEAVILY DEPENDENT ON RUSSIA

"Does it worry you, or not, that Western Europe is heavily dependent on Russia for its energy supplies?"

Base: All European adults

Total

Country

Great Britain

France

Italy

Spain

Germany

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes, worries me

63

66

43

79

73

55

No, does not worry me

24

21

31

16

19

32

Not sure

13

14

26

4

7

13

Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding.

TABLE 4

DIVERSIFICATION OF ENERGY SUPPLIES

"Should the European Union do more to encourage the diversification of energy supplies, or is it already doing enough?"

Base: All European adults

Total

Country

Great Britain

France

Italy

Spain

Germany

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes, should do more

77

65

75

86

87

71

No, is doing enough

8

10

9

6

6

10

Not sure

15

26

16

8

7

19

Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding.

TABLE 5

RUSSIAN COMPANIES ALLOWED TO BUY ENERGY COMPANIES AND OTHER LEADING BUSINESSES

"Should Russian companies be allowed to buy energy companies and other leading businesses in the European Union?"

Base: All European adults

Total

Country

Great Britain

France

Italy

Spain

Germany

%

%

%

%

%

%

Yes, should be allowed

23

22

12

20

30

31

No

55

57

58

62

51

48

Not sure

22

21

30

19

19

21

Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding.

TABLE 6

MODERN DAY RUSSIA A PARTNER OR THREAT

"In your opinion, is modern-day Russia more of a partner or a threat?"

Base: All European adults

Total

Country

Great Britain

France

Italy

Spain

Germany

%

%

%

%

%

%

More of a partner

53

41

46

64

56

56

More of a threat

18

23

19

18

17

12

Not sure

29

36

34

18

26

31

Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding.

TABLE 7

SUPPORT RUSSIA’S CONTINUED MEMBERSHIP IN G8

"Do you support Russia’s continued membership in the G8?"

Base: All European adults

Total

Country

Great Britain

France

Italy

Spain

Germany

%

%

%

%

%

%

Support

56

53

51

77

49

49

Oppose

12

8

11

8

19

17

Not sure

32

39

38

15

33

34

Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding.

TABLE 8

SUPPORT OR OPPOSE RUSSIA’S ADMISSION TO EUROPEAN UNION

"If Russia were to apply to join the European Union, would you support or oppose its admission?"

Base: All European adults

Total

Country

Great Britain

France

Italy

Spain

Germany

%

%

%

%

%

%

Support

45

37

26

64

62

35

Oppose

33

26

50

21

22

45

Not sure

23

38

23

15

16

20

Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding.

TABLE 9

SUPPORT OR OPPOSE THE UKRAINE’S ADMISSION TO EUROPEAN UNION

"If the Ukraine were to apply to join the European Union, would you support or oppose its admission?"

Base: All European adults

Total

Country

Great Britain

France

Italy

Spain

Germany

%

%

%

%

%

%

Support

51

43

36

69

65

43

Oppose

25

18

37

18

18

37

Not sure

23

38

27

14

16

21

Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding.

TABLE 10

BEST LEADER OF THE SOVIET UNION/RUSSIA WITHIN PAST 20 YEARS

"In your opinion, which of the following leaders has been the best leader of the Soviet Union/Russia within the past 20 years?"

Base: All European adults

Total

Country

Great Britain

France

Italy

Spain

Germany

%

%

%

%

%

%

Gorbachev

59

47

56

61

65

68

Putin

12

10

6

21

12

11

Yeltsin

4

5

6

2

3

3

Not sure

25

38

31

16

20

18

Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding.

TABLE 11

COUNTRIES THAT ARE A THREAT TO GLOBAL STABILITY

"Which, if any, of the following countries do you think is the greatest threat to global stability?"

Base: All European adults 16+

Total

Country

Great Britain

France

Italy

Spain

Germany

%

%

%

%

%

%

U.S.

30

28

26

23

46

27

North Korea

20

29

23

14

22

13

Iran

17

10

15

25

11

23

Iraq

13

12

14

9

10

21

China

12

13

12

23

6

8

Russia

1

1

1

1

1

1

Other

2

1

1

3

1

1

None

5

7

7

3

2

6

Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding.

Methodology

This Financial Times/Harris Poll was conducted online within Great Britain, France, Germany, Italy, and Spain by Harris Interactive between July 6th and 12th, 2006 among 2,623 adults (aged 16 and over). Figures for age, sex, education, region and Internet usage were weighted where necessary to bring them into line with their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents’ propensity to be online.

All surveys are subject to several sources of error. These include: sampling error (because only a sample of a population is interviewed); measurement error due to question wording and/or question order, deliberately or unintentionally inaccurate responses, nonresponse (including refusals), interviewer effects (when live interviewers are used) and weighting.

With one exception (sampling error) the magnitude of the errors that result cannot be estimated. There is, therefore, no way to calculate a finite "margin of error" for any survey and the use of these words should be avoided.

With pure probability samples, with 100 percent response rates, it is possible to calculate the probability that the sampling error (but not other sources of error) is not greater than some number. With a pure probability sample of 2,623 adults one could say with a ninety-five percent probability that the overall results have a sampling error of +/-2 percentage point. However that does not take other sources of error into account. This online survey is not based on a probability sample and therefore no theoretical sampling error can be calculated.

About Harris Interactive

Harris Interactive is the 13th largest and fastest-growing market research firm in the world. The company provides research-driven insights and strategic advice to help its clients make more confident decisions which lead to measurable and enduring improvements in performance. Harris Interactive is widely known for The Harris Poll, one of the longest running, independent opinion polls and for pioneering online market research methods. The company has built what could conceivably be the world’s largest panel of survey respondents, the Harris Poll Online. Harris Interactive serves clients worldwide through its United States, Europe and Asia offices, its wholly-owned subsidiary Novatris in France and through a global network of independent market research firms. The service bureau, HISB, provides its market research industry clients with mixed-mode data collection, panel development services as well as syndicated and tracking research consultation. More information about Harris Interactive may be obtained at www.harrisinteractive.com.

To become a member of the Harris Poll Online, visit www.harrispollonline.com.

Contact:

Nancy Wong

+1-585-214-7316

nwong@harrisinteractive.com

Harris Interactive Inc. 07/06

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